Core Viewpoint - The postal and currency market is currently in a state of stagnation, but there are predictions of a significant turnaround by 2025 due to changes in international dynamics and domestic consumption upgrades [1][9]. Market Status - The postal and currency market has been experiencing a prolonged downturn, which has led to a reduction in the issuance of commemorative coins and stamps, with commemorative coins decreasing from 100 million to 50 million and stamps from 8 million sets to 6 million sets [3][5]. - Despite the decline in prices of older stamps and coins, this low period has provided an opportunity for market adjustment and rationality, indicating potential for future price rebounds [5][10]. Consumption Stimulus - Historical trends show that the postal and currency market's performance is closely linked to domestic consumption policies, with past economic developments and consumption upgrades leading to price surges, particularly in stamps [6][7]. - The government’s stimulus measures during the 2008-2010 financial crisis led to a rapid recovery in the market, exemplified by the price of the 1980 monkey stamp soaring from 2,000 yuan to over 10,000 yuan [8][9]. Investor Confidence - Although there are positive expectations regarding reduced issuance, investor confidence remains fragile due to prolonged market stagnation and low trading activity [10][11]. - Recent price increases in some postal items have not generated sufficient momentum to revitalize the overall market [12]. Future Market Direction - The future of the postal and currency market hinges on the effectiveness of policy implementation and the confidence of market participants [14]. - If the postal authorities can effectively manage price control, inventory clearance, and market transparency, a significant rebound could occur, potentially leading to record-high market conditions [14]. - Conversely, failure to address existing issues may result in continued market difficulties and potential collapse [15][16].