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买下年入220亿的星巴克中国,是笔好生意吗
凤凰网财经· 2025-10-31 12:34
Core Viewpoint - Starbucks China is increasingly seen as a promising investment opportunity, with significant growth in revenue and store profitability, despite facing competition from local brands like Luckin Coffee [2][3][21]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, Starbucks China's revenue grew by 6% year-on-year to $831.6 million (approximately RMB 5.913 billion), while the full fiscal year revenue increased by 5% to $3.105 billion (approximately RMB 22.077 billion) [2]. - The operating profit margin for Starbucks China has remained in double digits, with operating profit and margin improving for four consecutive quarters [3]. - Same-store sales in Starbucks China increased by 2% year-on-year, with transaction volume rising by 9%, although the average ticket price fell by 7% [12]. Group 2: Growth Strategies - The core driver of growth in Starbucks China is price adjustments, with significant price reductions on key products leading to a doubling of sales for iced tea and continued growth for tea lattes [8][9]. - Promotional activities and product innovations, particularly in the tea latte series, have contributed to sales growth, with a record single-day sales achieved through seasonal promotions [9][10]. - The delivery service "Star Express" has also seen record sales, benefiting from the competitive landscape of food delivery [10]. Group 3: Market Position and Competition - Starbucks China is currently in the process of selling equity stakes, with potential valuations exceeding $4 billion, and possibly over $10 billion when including franchise fees [17][20]. - Competitors like Luckin Coffee are rapidly expanding, with a 47.1% year-on-year revenue growth and a total of 26,206 stores, significantly outpacing Starbucks [22][23]. - The domestic coffee market is becoming increasingly competitive, with brands like Kudi Coffee also expanding rapidly and achieving profitability [25][26]. Group 4: Operational Changes - Starbucks is shifting towards a more localized operational model by granting more autonomy to its Chinese team, which is seen as essential for adapting to the local market [13][14]. - The company is exploring partnerships with local investors to enhance its market presence, indicating a strategic pivot towards greater localization [15][17]. - However, there are concerns about maintaining Starbucks' cultural identity amidst these changes, as the company navigates the complexities of the Chinese market [27][28].