Summary of Hotel Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The hotel industry is experiencing significant changes due to evolving service consumption policies, which are expected to enhance tourism demand in the second quarter of 2026, particularly with the potential nationwide promotion of spring break [1][2] - The overall supply growth in the hotel industry is not expected to slow down, with a focus on small properties while large properties see a deceleration in growth [1][5] Key Insights and Arguments - The hotel sector is anticipated to improve sequentially in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, driven by stable demand and a decreasing base effect, with companies like Huazhu showing signs of recovery [1][3][4] - Recent fluctuations in the hotel sector are attributed to changes in policy expectations, particularly regarding service consumption, which has led to capital movement within the sector [2] - The introduction of hotel REITs policies is expected to be a significant breakthrough, likely to be launched around February 2026, benefiting the high-end hotel segment and promoting marketization and resource consolidation [3][9][10] Company-Specific Developments - Junting Hotel Group, following the entry of Hubei State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, is expected to enhance performance through the injection of light-asset, high-profit businesses like hotel management, rather than heavy assets [1][6][11] - The company has resumed normal profitability with its direct-operated stores and aims to leverage resources from Hubei State-owned Assets for significant performance improvement over the next two years [7][11] - Junting has partnered with Select International and Hilton to launch new products, Kaiyi and Kaifu, which have lower renovation costs and shorter payback periods compared to competitors [8] Additional Important Points - The supply growth in the hotel industry is primarily concentrated in small properties (15-30 rooms and 30-69 rooms), while larger properties (70-149 rooms) have seen a slowdown since June 2025 [5] - Junting's differentiated franchise strategy includes favorable terms for franchisees, such as a take rate below 8% for stores with low overall revenue, which helps attract more inbound traffic [8] - The new REITs policy is expected to facilitate the integration of high-end hotel properties, allowing them to utilize social leverage for resource consolidation, which is not applicable to mid- and low-end hotels [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has been performing well, prompting leading companies in various sectors, including the hotel industry, to accelerate their IPOs in Hong Kong, with Jin Jiang International Hotel Group aiming to become the first "A+H" dual-listed hotel group in China [2][3]. Industry Overview - The hotel industry is experiencing a dichotomy, with continuous expansion in scale but declining profitability. As of the end of 2024, China's accommodation facilities are projected to reach approximately 570,000, with a total room count of about 19.27 million, reflecting a 9% growth in hotel facilities and a 7% growth in room numbers [3]. - Despite the increase in hotel numbers, demand has not kept pace, leading to a supply-demand imbalance. Domestic travel is expected to reach 5.615 billion trips in 2024, a 14.8% increase year-on-year, but still only 93.49% of the 2019 level [3]. - The hotel industry is facing a decline in key operational metrics, with occupancy rates dropping to 58.8% (down 2.5% year-on-year) and average room prices decreasing by 5.8% to 200 yuan [3]. Company Performance - Jin Jiang Hotel reported a revenue decline of 4% to 14.063 billion yuan in 2024, with net profit decreasing by 9.06% to 911 million yuan. The RevPAR for Jin Jiang's full-service hotels saw a significant drop of 10.8% [4][10]. - The company operates 13,416 hotels with a total of 1,290,988 rooms, making it the largest hotel group in China and the second largest globally by room count [8][9]. Strategic Intent of IPO - The primary goals of Jin Jiang's IPO in Hong Kong include optimizing capital structure and reducing financial leverage by replacing high-interest debt with equity financing, thereby improving profit margins and balance sheet health [5]. - The IPO aims to deepen internationalization strategies, enhancing the company's recognition among global investors and facilitating future overseas acquisitions [5]. - The company seeks to improve its equity structure by attracting a more diverse range of international investors, enhancing liquidity and flexibility for future capital operations [5]. Challenges and Opportunities - The hotel industry is currently facing significant challenges, including supply-demand imbalances and price wars, which are unlikely to be resolved in the short term. This environment has made investors more cautious about hotel sector investments [7]. - Jin Jiang Hotel's performance in the domestic market has been under pressure, with revenue and profit declines expected to continue into 2025 [10]. - The company has faced difficulties in its overseas expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia, where cultural differences have hindered effective management and resource integration [12]. Market Reception - The market's response to Jin Jiang's IPO remains uncertain, with concerns about whether the company can effectively address its existing issues and enhance its competitiveness post-listing [6][13]. - The company's stock performance in the A-share market has been lackluster, with a current price of 22.21 yuan and a TTM P/E ratio of 31.35, indicating cautious market sentiment [13][14].