金融代理人战争
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欧洲打算亮出最后底牌,动用俄罗斯海外资产,可让乌克兰再撑五年
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 18:55
Core Viewpoint - The European Union is planning to utilize the frozen Russian assets, amounting to €210 billion, to support Ukraine's ongoing resistance against Russia, effectively turning these assets into a financial lifeline for Ukraine over the next five years [2][10]. Group 1: Initial Actions - The initial phase involves the EU intercepting the annual interest income generated from the frozen Russian assets, which amounts to several billion euros, to fund Ukraine's infrastructure rebuilding and social support [3]. - Moscow is left powerless as its accounts are locked, unable to access or utilize these funds [3]. Group 2: Debt Issuance Strategy - The EU plans to issue €140 billion in "reconstruction bonds" backed by the frozen assets, with the intention of using the funds to procure military supplies and support government salaries in Ukraine [4]. - This strategy effectively places the financial burden of the war on Russia, as the debt will be recorded against Russian assets [4]. Group 3: Legal and Political Implications - The process raises significant legal questions regarding whether the operation constitutes a "guarantee" or "de facto confiscation," with potential repercussions for European nations if Russia wins a legal challenge [7]. - Concerns have been voiced by smaller nations like Belgium and Luxembourg about the precedent this sets for future financial interactions and the potential risks involved [5][7]. Group 4: G7 Sanctions and Financial Dynamics - The G7 has intensified sanctions against Russia, targeting key revenue streams such as oil and military supply chains, further constraining Russia's financial capabilities [8][10]. - The design of this financial strategy creates a closed loop where frozen assets continuously fund Ukraine, alleviating the need for direct financial support from European taxpayers [10]. Group 5: Market Reactions and Future Outlook - The issuance of the €140 billion bonds raises questions about market acceptance and the potential risks for investors if Russia refuses to acknowledge the debt [11]. - The outcome of this financial maneuvering could either lead to a historic case of financial strategy or result in a crisis for Europe if Russia retaliates against the asset freeze [11].
欧洲准备打出最后王牌,动用俄罗斯海外资产,够乌克兰再战五年
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 00:03
欧洲这招"乾坤大挪移":用俄罗斯的"钱袋子",给乌克兰再充五年"军火券"? 兄弟们,今天咱们来聊一个国际金融圈和军事圈都炸了锅的大操作! 欧洲那边,据说准备打出一张终极底牌,要把冻结的俄罗斯海外资产给"盘活"了,转换成真金白银,据说够乌克兰在战场上再坚持个五年。 这可不是简单的"砸钱",而是一套眼花缭乱的金融组合拳,堪称现代版"以彼之矛,攻彼之盾"。 今天,咱就用最接地气的话,把这事的里里外外给大家唠 明白。 自2022年俄乌冲突爆发,欧美国家手起刀落,冻结了俄罗斯央行在海外的巨额资产。 这笔钱大部分——高达2100亿欧元,就存放在比利时布鲁塞尔的欧洲 清算银行里。 好家伙,这相当于直接把俄罗斯的一个"海外金库"给暂时查封了。 "金融魔术"怎么玩? 直接没收? 太粗暴,法律上争议极大。 欧洲想了个更"优雅"的办法:抵押贷款。 欧洲此举,意在打一场"金融代理人战争",其深远影响远超输送单一武器。 这已经不是简单的经济制裁升级,而是试图从根本上改写"战争赔款"的规则,用金融手段为军事冲突续费,堪称一场豪赌。 第一回合:欧洲的"神操作"——把俄罗斯的"钱包"抵押了! 咱们先来捋捋欧洲这脑洞大开的计划是啥。 天量"冻 ...