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耀皮玻璃(600819):首次覆盖报告:老牌玻璃的新引擎,汽车玻璃与TCO突围
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-03 12:52
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company with a target price of 10.01 CNY [5][21]. Core Insights - The company is a long-established leader in the glass industry, accelerating its transformation with a focus on automotive glass and TCO (Transparent Conductive Oxide) glass production [2][11]. - The automotive glass segment is expanding rapidly, with the company achieving nationwide operational rights and accelerating new vehicle partnerships, which is expected to enhance both volume and profitability [16][24]. - The TCO glass production is nearing mass production, with the company having a leading position in online coating technology, poised to benefit from the upcoming demand surge [17][18]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 5.588 billion CNY in 2023, with a growth forecast of 10.3% to 6.418 billion CNY by 2027 [4][18]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover from a loss of 125 million CNY in 2023 to a profit of 279 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround [4][18]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from -0.13 CNY in 2023 to 0.29 CNY in 2027 [4][18]. Company Overview - The company, established in 1983, is a Sino-British joint venture, with major shareholders including Shanghai Building Materials Group and NSG Group [23][31]. - The governance structure is stabilizing, with Shanghai Building Materials Group increasing its shareholding over the years [31][32]. - The business structure has shifted towards higher value-added products, particularly in automotive and TCO glass segments [15][24]. Automotive Glass Market - The automotive glass market is experiencing rapid expansion, with the value per vehicle increasing from approximately 500-800 CNY for traditional vehicles to 1500-2000 CNY for electric and smart vehicles [16][35]. - The company has unified its operational rights across the country and is accelerating the acquisition of new energy vehicle partnerships, which is expected to improve profit margins significantly [16][24]. - The gross margin for automotive glass is projected to rise from 10.25% in 2023 to 13.34% in 2024, driven by new customer acquisitions [16][24]. TCO Glass Production - The TCO glass segment is approaching a production ramp-up phase, with significant demand expected from downstream customers planning large-scale production between 2025 and 2027 [17][18]. - The company has enhanced its online coating utilization rates post-acquisition, allowing for flexible production capabilities across various glass types [17][18]. - The profitability from TCO glass is expected to contribute significantly to the company's overall net profit in the coming years [17][18].