钢铁行业估值修复
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钢铁股集体下跌 机构称板块估值已大幅修复 关注供给端后续收缩速度
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 06:33
钢铁股集体下跌,截至发稿,重庆钢铁(601005)股份(01053)跌4.72%,报1.21港元;鞍钢股份 (000898)(00347)跌4.06%,报1.89港元;马鞍山钢铁股份(00323)跌3.64%,报2.38港元。 国泰海通证券则表示,需求有望逐步触底;供给端即便不考虑供给政策,目前行业亏损时间已经较长, 供给的市场化出清已开始出现,我们预期钢铁行业基本面有望逐步修复。而若供给政策落地,行业供给 的收缩速度更快,行业上行的进展将更快展开。 国盛证券(002670)发布研报称,今年限产政策执行效果不佳,供给端我们期待未来钢厂反内卷政策能 尽快切实转化为行动上的压产,加快行业盈利回归的速度。去年三季度以来板块估值大幅修复,目前绝 对估值位置已经从绝对低估修复至中等偏低的位置,估值上泡沫不多,没有计入盈利进一步回归的预 期,依然具备绝对收益的空间。 ...
钢铁ETF(515210)涨超3.1%,政策优化与供需改善或推动估值修复
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-02 05:32
Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revised the "Steel Industry Normative Conditions (2025 Edition)" on February 8, 2025, implementing a two-tier evaluation for steel enterprises, which is expected to help the steel sector's profitability recover to historical average levels [1] - In early June, key enterprises reported a daily average crude steel output of 2.159 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 3.25%, while the national blast furnace capacity utilization rate slightly rose to 90.83%, an increase of 0.04 percentage points [1] - The weekly output of rebar increased by 2.67% to 2.1784 million tons, and the price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is at a low level of 150 yuan/ton [1] Group 2 - The PB ratio of the general steel sector relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is at 32.03%, with the current ratio at 0.50, indicating room for recovery compared to the peak of 0.82 in August 2017 [1] - The Steel ETF tracks the CSI Steel Index, which is compiled by the China Securities Index Co., Ltd., covering listed companies involved in steel production, processing, and sales, effectively reflecting the overall performance of the steel industry [1] - The index constituents have strong industry representation and integrity of the industrial chain, providing investors with important tools to seize investment opportunities in the steel sector [1]