1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply of platinum and palladium is highly concentrated and growth - restricted. Their prices depend on real supply - demand patterns and speculative activities. The demand for both has declined from historical highs, with platinum's demand being slightly better than palladium's in recent years. In 2025, there will be a supply - demand gap for platinum and a surplus for palladium. Platinum prices are expected to strengthen, while palladium may continue to face pressure [94][96][98]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Basic Concepts - Platinum is a rare noble metal with high stability, corrosion resistance, and good ductility. It is often associated with other metals in the platinum - group. Palladium, discovered in 1803, has unique physical and chemical properties, high catalytic activity, and is widely used in environmental protection, medical treatment, and other fields. After heat treatment, it becomes soft and malleable, and can be slowly dissolved in certain acids [4][8]. - Palladium's various properties make it widely used in different fields. It is used as a catalyst in the chemical industry, for hydrogen storage and sensing, in electronic components, and forms alloys for jewelry and other industrial applications [10]. 3.2 Supply and Demand 3.2.1 Platinum Supply - The platinum industry chain includes upstream mines, where low - grade ores are refined into products like platinum ingots and sponge platinum. In the middle - stream, it is used to make catalysts, compounds, electrodes, etc. Downstream applications are in jewelry, investment, the automotive industry, and the hydrogen industry [13]. - The supply of platinum is mainly from mines, with South Africa accounting for over 70% of global reserves. Recycling is also an important source, which consists of scrap - car catalyst recycling, jewelry recycling, and industrial recycling. In 2024, the recycling supply was 47.6 tons, up 1% from 2023, and is expected to reach 48.9 tons in 2025. However, global platinum supply is still restricted, with a projected 4% decline in 2025 [15][17][21]. 3.2.2 Platinum Demand - In the past five years, the automotive sector has had the highest demand for platinum (37%), followed by industry (31%), jewelry (26%), and investment (6%). The automotive demand for platinum depends on factors such as the number of vehicles, vehicle size, and power - system trends. Global automotive platinum demand decreased by 2% in 2024 to 96.6 tons and is expected to decline by another 2% in 2025 to 94.9 tons [24]. - In the industrial field, platinum is used in five main areas: chemical (28% average weight in the past five years), glass (24%), medical (12%), petroleum (7%), and electronics (5%). The demand from the fixed - hydrogen and other areas is expected to grow by 35% in 2025 to 1.8 tons, while the other industrial demand is expected to slightly decline by 1% to 17.7 tons [26][31][39]. - Platinum jewelry demand is relatively stable in the past 10 years, with different trends in different regions. Its demand is driven by economic growth, social changes, consumption habits, and price changes [42][43]. - Platinum investment demand includes physical and virtual forms. Chinese physical investment demand has been increasing, and European platinum ETFs have the largest持仓 [65][66]. 3.2.3 Palladium Supply - The palladium industry chain involves upstream mining and smelting, mainly in South Africa and Russia, mid - stream processing into compounds and catalysts, and downstream recycling. The main palladium deposits are in South Africa, Russia, etc. The global annual palladium production is about 190 tons, with South Africa and Russia accounting for 38.1% and 39.6% respectively. In 2024, the global palladium recycling volume was about 83.35 tons, accounting for 30.6% of the total supply [44][49][52]. 3.2.4 Palladium Demand - In 2024, the main demand for palladium was from automotive catalysts (82.3%), followed by chemical (5.4%), dental (1.8%), etc. It is mainly used in gasoline - powered vehicle catalysts to reduce emissions, with about 80% used in automotive three - way catalysts. China, Europe, Japan, and North America are major demand regions [55][56]. - Palladium's industrial demand has declined from 25% in 2010 to about 11% currently. It is widely used in various industrial fields and is crucial for the hydrogen industry [57]. - Palladium jewelry demand is low, accounting for about 0.8% of the total demand. Its investment demand includes bars, coins, and ETFs, but the scale of the well - known palladium ETF has decreased significantly [61][68]. 3.3 Interpretation of Platinum and Palladium Futures Contracts (Draft for Soliciting Opinions) - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has released a draft for platinum and palladium futures contracts. The draft has adjusted some details compared to the previous design. The price limits and margin requirements are set higher than those of gold and silver futures to cover price fluctuations [70][71]. - The futures use a three - stage gradient margin system. The price limit for normal months is 4%, and for delivery months, it is 6% [74][77]. - The exchange innovatively includes ingots, sponge, and powder forms of platinum and palladium in the delivery. The delivery unit is 1000 grams per hand. The delivery place may be concentrated in mining areas, recycling areas, and southeastern coastal cities [84][85][90]. 3.4 Future Outlook - The supply of platinum and palladium is concentrated and growth - restricted. The demand has declined from historical highs. In 2025, platinum will have a supply - demand gap, while palladium will have a surplus. Platinum prices are expected to strengthen, and palladium may face pressure [94][96][98].