Core Insights - Molybdenum iron, an alloy composed of 55%-75% molybdenum, is essential for producing stainless steel, heat-resistant steel, acid-resistant steel, and tool steel, with a density of 9.0g/cm³ to 9.5g/cm³ and a melting point around 2700°C [2][4] Production and Demand - In 2024, China's cumulative molybdenum iron production is projected to reach 217,700 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.1%, with apparent demand at 217,600 tons [2] - From January to August 2025, cumulative production is expected to be 161,400 tons, a significant year-on-year growth of 13.8%, with apparent demand at 161,700 tons, indicating a balanced supply-demand scenario [2] - Major production regions in China include Liaoning, Henan, and Shaanxi [2] Price Trends - The price of 60% molybdenum iron in China surged from 98,600 CNY/ton in 2020 to 252,200 CNY/ton in 2023, driven by intensified supply-demand conflicts [2] - In 2024, prices are expected to remain high but decline compared to 2023 due to supply release and weakened downstream demand [2] Import and Export Dynamics - Between 2022 and 2024, molybdenum iron exports have been declining, while imports have been increasing, indicating a shift towards a stronger import market [2] - In 2024, molybdenum iron imports are projected at 7,963.5 tons, a substantial year-on-year increase of 61.0%, while exports are expected to be 8,122.9 tons, down 4.7% [2] - For January to August 2025, import and export volumes are anticipated to be 3,834.4 tons and 3,601.0 tons, respectively [2] Industry Outlook - The demand for molybdenum iron is expected to remain resilient, supported by the stainless steel and special steel sectors, as well as the upgrading of high-end manufacturing [2]