Investment Ratings - The report does not explicitly provide investment ratings for the industries discussed [2][3][4][5][6]. Core Insights - The copper market shows a stable upward trend with expectations of demand recovery in mid-September, despite current seasonal weakness [15]. - The aluminum sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with a slight increase in processing rates among leading companies [16]. - The gold market remains highly active, influenced by international geopolitical developments and trade agreements [17]. - The rare earth sector is experiencing significant price increases and regulatory changes, indicating a bullish outlook [35]. - The antimony market is expected to see price recovery due to improved export expectations and domestic production cuts [36]. - The molybdenum market is witnessing price increases driven by rising demand from steel manufacturers [37]. Summary by Sections 1. Base and Precious Metals Market Overview - Copper prices decreased slightly, with LME copper at $9734.50 per ton and SHFE copper at ¥78,700 per ton [15]. - Aluminum prices also fell, with LME aluminum at $2593.00 per ton and SHFE aluminum at ¥20,600 per ton [16]. - Gold prices showed a minor increase, with COMEX gold at $3383.50 per ounce [17]. 2. Base and Precious Metals Fundamental Updates 2.1 Copper - The copper processing fee index dropped to -$41.15 per ton, and domestic copper inventory decreased by 0.2 thousand tons to 13.17 thousand tons [15]. - The operating rate in the copper industry fell by 7.39% to 52.1% due to raw material shortages [15]. 2.2 Aluminum - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 1.1 thousand tons to 596 thousand tons, while the operating rate for aluminum processing companies rose by 0.5% to 60.0% [16]. - The complete cost of electrolytic aluminum is ¥16,718 per ton, with industry profits around ¥3,960 per ton [16]. 2.3 Precious Metals - The gold market is influenced by international trade agreements and geopolitical tensions, maintaining a volatile trading environment [17]. 3. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Market Overview - The rare earth sector is seeing price increases, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at ¥622,300 per ton, up 11.61% [35]. - Antimony prices are expected to recover due to improved export conditions and domestic production cuts [36]. - Molybdenum prices are rising as demand from steel manufacturers increases, with molybdenum concentrate prices at ¥4,420 per ton [37]. 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Fundamental Updates 4.1 Rare Earth - Regulatory changes in the rare earth industry are expected to enhance market conditions, with significant price increases anticipated [35]. 4.2 Antimony - The antimony market is poised for recovery, supported by export expectations and production cuts [36]. 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are on the rise due to increased demand from the steel sector, with a notable recovery in steel procurement volumes [37].

Group 1: Nickel Market Analysis - On August 21, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai nickel 2510 opened at 120,010 yuan/ton and closed at 119,830 yuan/ton, down 0.30% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 90,715 lots and an open interest of 102,385 lots [1]. - In the night session, the main contract of Shanghai nickel opened at 120,430 yuan/ton, then quickly rose to 121,080 yuan/ton, but then fell under pressure, reaching a minimum of 119,620 yuan/ton and finally closing at 120,060 yuan/ton, down 550 yuan/ton or 0.46%, with a trading volume of 77,982 lots. The daily session opened at 120,010 yuan/ton, fluctuated between 119,780 - 120,590 yuan/ton, and closed at 119,830 yuan/ton, down 360 yuan/ton or 0.30% from the previous settlement price, with an enlarged trading volume of 90,715 lots. The LME nickel price fell to 15,050 US dollars/ton during the daily session, intensifying the bearish sentiment in the domestic market [2]. - Jinchuan Group's sales price in the Shanghai market was 122,300 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The procurement enthusiasm of downstream enterprises slightly improved. The spot premiums of various refined nickel brands were basically stable. Jinchuan nickel's premium changed by 100 yuan/ton to 2,500 yuan/ton, imported nickel's premium changed by 50 yuan/ton to 400 yuan/ton, and nickel beans' premium was 2,450 yuan/ton. The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipts were 22,588 (29.0) tons, and LME nickel inventory was 209,598 (252) tons [3]. Strategy - The pattern of oversupply remains unchanged. The production capacity of nickel intermediate products continues to be released, and the price of the ore end is loosening. In the short term, the nickel price will mainly fluctuate and move closer to the cost below. The recommended strategy is mainly range - bound operation for single - side trading, and no operations for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [4]. Group 2: Stainless Steel Market Analysis - On August 21, 2025, the main contract of stainless steel 2510 opened at 12,830 yuan/ton and closed at 12,795 yuan/ton, with a trading volume of 99,736 lots and an open interest of 138,810 lots [4]. - In the night session, the main contract of stainless steel opened at 12,870 yuan/ton, rose to 12,895 yuan/ton, then fell under pressure, reaching a minimum of 12,765 yuan/ton and finally closing at 12,820 yuan/ton, down 105 yuan/ton or 0.81%, with a trading volume of 149,736 lots. The daily session opened at 12,830 yuan/ton, fluctuated between 12,785 - 12,860 yuan/ton, and closed at 12,795 yuan/ton, down 35 yuan/ton or 0.27% from the previous settlement price, with an enlarged trading volume of 99,736 lots. The spot market prices in Wuxi and Foshan were 13,050 yuan/ton, and the 304/2B premium was 330 - 530 yuan/ton. The ex - factory tax - included average price of high - nickel pig iron changed by 0.50 yuan/nickel point to 928.0 yuan/nickel point [4][5]. Strategy - Currently in the traditional off - season of consumption, demand is weak, and affected by macro news, it is expected that the stainless steel price will fluctuate weakly in a range in the near future. The recommended strategy is mainly range - bound operation for single - side trading, and no operations for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [6].

Core Insights - Molybdenum prices have reached a new high, with ferromolybdenum prices rising to approximately 280,000 yuan per ton, marking a significant increase in the market [1][2] - The increase in molybdenum prices is attributed to a combination of tight supply from upstream sources and increased demand from downstream industries, leading to a notable rise in transaction volumes [2][4] - Major steel companies in China have issued a joint statement to halt ferromolybdenum purchases to stabilize the industry and resist speculative pricing [3] Price Trends - Since April, molybdenum prices have increased significantly, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising over 1,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a more than 35% increase [2] - The price of molybdenum concentrate reached 4,380 yuan per ton, while the main price for ferromolybdenum also surged to 280,000 yuan per ton [1][2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of molybdenum concentrate has been constrained due to production issues at some mines, leading to a decrease in output in August [2][5] - Molybdenum inventories are at their lowest levels in nearly three years, with downstream demand expected to grow, projecting a near 7% increase in molybdenum demand by 2025 [2][3] Industry Response - The joint statement from major steel companies emphasizes the need for industry self-discipline and cooperation to stabilize prices and ensure sustainable development across the molybdenum supply chain [3] - Despite the temporary halt in ferromolybdenum purchases by steel companies, the overall demand for ferromolybdenum remains strong, with significant bidding activity observed in August [4][5] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the tight supply situation for molybdenum concentrate is unlikely to change in the short term, maintaining high cost levels for ferromolybdenum [4][5] - The upcoming traditional peak demand season in September and October is expected to further support molybdenum prices, driven by government infrastructure investments and policy support [4][5]

Core Insights - Molybdenum prices have reached a new high, with ferromolybdenum prices rising to approximately 280,000 yuan per ton, marking a significant increase in demand and activity in the market [1][4] - The price of molybdenum concentrate has also surged, reaching 4,380 yuan per ton, driven by a combination of supply constraints and increased downstream demand [1][2] - The recent price increases are attributed to a tight supply situation and a recovery in demand, with expectations for continued growth in molybdenum demand through 2025 [2][5] Group 1: Price Trends - Molybdenum prices have been on an upward trend since April, with molybdenum concentrate prices increasing by over 1,000 yuan per ton, representing a rise of more than 35% [2] - The current price levels are the highest seen in the year, with significant activity in the market as major steel mills begin to bid for molybdenum [1][4] - The price increase is expected to benefit upstream molybdenum mining companies, while downstream companies may face increased operational pressures due to rising costs [2][3] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of molybdenum concentrate is at a near three-year low, with global molybdenum mine growth at only 1.2%, contributing to the price surge [2][5] - Domestic steel mills have reported a 10.47% increase in molybdenum bidding volume compared to the previous year, indicating strong demand [3] - Despite a recent joint statement from major steel companies to halt ferromolybdenum purchases, the overall market demand remains robust, with expectations for increased bidding activity in August [4][5] Group 3: Industry Responses - Major steel companies have called for a halt to speculative trading in the molybdenum market to stabilize prices and ensure they reflect true supply and demand [3] - The industry is focusing on maintaining a healthy supply chain for molybdenum, which is essential for high-end stainless steel production [3] - Analysts predict that the combination of government policies and increased infrastructure investment will support molybdenum demand in the coming months [4]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The copper market shows a stable upward trend with a slight increase in prices and a notable rise in production rates for various types of copper [14] - The aluminum market is stabilizing at the bottom, with slight increases in production and inventory levels [15] - The gold market maintains high attractiveness due to international geopolitical tensions, enhancing its appeal as a safe-haven asset [16] - The rare earth sector is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and regulatory changes, benefiting leading companies in the field [34] - The antimony market is stabilizing with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements and domestic production cuts [37] - The molybdenum market remains bullish due to low inventory levels and strong demand from the steel industry [38] - The tin market is experiencing upward momentum supported by strong inventory levels and improving macroeconomic conditions [39] Summary by Sections 1. Base and Precious Metals Market Overview - Copper prices increased by 1.40% to $9,768.00 per ton on LME, with a notable rise in production rates [14] - Aluminum prices rose by 1.69% to $2,615.00 per ton on LME, with stable inventory levels [15] - Gold prices increased by 0.86% to $3,458.20 per ounce, driven by geopolitical factors [16] 2. Base and Precious Metals Fundamental Updates 2.1 Copper - The copper processing fee index rose to $38.06 per ton, with a significant increase in production rates across various sectors [14] 2.2 Aluminum - The operating capacity of alumina increased to 82.57%, reflecting recovery from maintenance [15] 2.3 Precious Metals - Gold holdings in SPDR increased by 4.84 tons, indicating strong demand [16] 3. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Market Overview - The rare earth market is expected to see price increases due to supply constraints and regulatory changes [34] - The antimony market is stabilizing with expectations of price recovery driven by export improvements [37] - The molybdenum market remains bullish due to low inventory levels and strong demand [38] 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Fundamental Updates 4.1 Rare Earth - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 1.84%, but supply constraints are expected to drive future price increases [34] 4.2 Antimony - Antimony prices remain stable, with expectations of recovery due to improved export conditions [37] 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are expected to rise due to low inventory and strong demand from the steel industry [38] 4.4 Tin - Tin prices increased by 1.61%, supported by strong inventory levels and improving demand conditions [39]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Positive (Maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that the price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide has entered an upward channel, with a recent increase of 10.97% to 531,000 CNY/ton. Meanwhile, dysprosium oxide has decreased by 2.38% to 1,640,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide has dropped by 0.97% to 7,110,000 CNY/ton. The positive sentiment is driven by supply constraints and strong demand for end-use magnetic materials [3][4][12]. - The molybdenum market is experiencing a price increase, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising by 7.53% to 4,285 CNY/ton. However, downstream demand is weak, leading to expectations of price fluctuations [4][24]. - Tungsten prices have reached a historical high due to supply reductions and price adjustments in long-term contracts, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing by 7.82% to 193,000 CNY/ton [4][34]. - The tin market is characterized by a supply-demand imbalance, with SHFE tin prices rising by 0.15% to 265,000 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices increased by 0.08% to 33,185 USD/ton [4][40]. - Antimony prices are experiencing fluctuations, with antimony ingot prices decreasing by 1.32% to 187,500 CNY/ton, attributed to low smelting output and tight raw material supply [4][56]. - The report emphasizes the accelerating commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion materials, with significant investments from state-owned enterprises, indicating a promising outlook for upstream materials [6]. Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Recent price movements show praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 10.97% to 531,000 CNY/ton, while dysprosium and terbium prices decreased [12][4]. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices rose by 7.53% to 4,285 CNY/ton, with expectations of price stabilization due to weak downstream demand [24][4]. Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices increased by 7.82% to 193,000 CNY/ton, driven by supply constraints and price adjustments in long-term contracts [34][4]. Tin - SHFE tin prices rose by 0.15% to 265,000 CNY/ton, while LME tin prices increased by 0.08% to 33,185 USD/ton, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance [40][4]. Antimony - Antimony ingot prices decreased by 1.32% to 187,500 CNY/ton, influenced by low smelting output and tight raw material supply [56][4]. Nuclear Fusion Materials - The commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is accelerating, with significant investments indicating a positive outlook for upstream materials [6].

Group 1 - The stock price of Taigang Stainless Steel closed at 4.19 yuan on July 31, down 0.19 yuan, representing a decline of 4.34% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 668,300 hands, with a total transaction amount of 282 million yuan [1] - Taigang Stainless Steel operates in the steel industry, primarily engaged in the production and sales of stainless steel and other steel products, which are widely used in sectors such as petroleum, chemical, shipbuilding, automotive, and home appliances [1] Group 2 - On July 30, Taigang Group, along with CITIC Pacific Special Steel and Qingtuo Group, announced a suspension of molybdenum iron procurement to address the irrational speculation causing chaos in the molybdenum industry chain [1] - On July 31, the net outflow of main funds for Taigang Stainless Steel was 24.85 million yuan, accounting for 0.1% of the circulating market value [2]

Price Trends - The market has experienced a significant downturn, with major commodities like glass, coking coal, polysilicon, silicon iron, and pure soda dropping over 6%[1] - Coking coal and polysilicon have seen price increases of 15.8% and 10.9% respectively since July 18, but these gains have narrowed significantly[2] - Iron ore has even turned negative, with a decrease of 0.4% since July 1[2] Market Sentiment - The recent decline in market sentiment is attributed to changes in macro policy statements, particularly regarding the regulation of low-price competition[1] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized a market-oriented approach rather than administrative commands to control prices, indicating a potential pause in recent price hikes[1] Industry Dynamics - Major steel companies in China have announced a halt in molybdenum iron purchases to resist irrational price increases, highlighting intensified competition within the industry[1] - The overall market may be entering a phase of reduced volatility as it awaits fundamental changes before resuming upward trends[3] Futures Market - Many commodities have shifted from a premium to a discount in the futures market, with prices for glass, coking coal, industrial silicon, rebar, and lithium carbonate currently below spot prices by 10.2%, 9.9%, 8.2%, 7.1%, and 5.2% respectively[2] - The futures market reflects a cautious outlook on short-term price increases, with coking coal and polysilicon's futures premiums narrowing to 14.0% and 5.4%[2]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [5] Core Views - The rare earth sector is experiencing price increases driven by overseas catalysts, with neodymium oxide rising 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, and terbium oxide increasing 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] - Molybdenum prices are fluctuating at high levels due to increased steel demand, with molybdenum concentrate prices rising 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton [5][24] - Tungsten prices are at new highs due to supply contraction expectations, with black tungsten concentrate prices increasing 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton [5][29] - Tin prices are under pressure with SHFE tin down 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, influenced by raw material shortages from Myanmar [5][37] - Antimony prices are adjusting downwards, with antimony ingot prices falling 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton due to reduced smelting output [5][48] - The controllable nuclear fusion materials sector is in a high-growth phase, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6] Summary by Category Rare Earths - Recent price increases: neodymium oxide up 7.29% to 478,500 CNY/ton, dysprosium oxide up 2.44% to 1,680,000 CNY/ton, terbium oxide up 0.84% to 7,180,000 CNY/ton [5][12] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate price increased 4.46% to 3,985 CNY/ton, while molybdenum iron (Mo60) rose 3.49% to 252,000 CNY/ton [5][24] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate price increased 4.07% to 179,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate rose 4.35% to 264,000 CNY/ton [5][29] Tin - SHFE tin price decreased 1.01% to 264,500 CNY/ton, and LME tin fell 1.82% to 33,160 USD/ton [5][37] Antimony - Antimony ingot price decreased 1.30% to 190,000 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate price fell 1.49% to 16,500 CNY/ton [5][48] Nuclear Fusion Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, with significant benefits expected for upstream materials [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals and new materials sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that antimony prices are under pressure due to demand, while tungsten prices remain high due to supply disruptions [3] - The rare earth market is experiencing price fluctuations, with some magnetic material manufacturers awaiting export approvals [5] - The molybdenum market is facing a contraction in supply alongside weak demand, leading to price adjustments [5] - The tungsten market is characterized by weak supply and demand, with prices stabilizing at high levels [5] - The tin market is experiencing a shortage of raw materials from Myanmar, resulting in a strong but volatile price trend [5] - Antimony prices are adjusting downward due to reduced smelting output, but long-term prospects remain positive [5] - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating commercialization, presenting significant opportunities for upstream materials [6][10] Summary by Sections 1. Rare Earths - Recent price changes include an increase of 0.45% for praseodymium-neodymium oxide to 446,000 CNY/ton and a 0.61% increase for dysprosium oxide to 1,640,000 CNY/ton [12][13] - The domestic market is affected by export restrictions and a tightening supply of low-cost ores, while demand remains weak [5] 2. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices have decreased by 0.78% to 3,815 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron prices have fallen by 0.41% to 243,500 CNY/ton [20] - Supply contraction signals are emerging, but demand from downstream industries is weak [5] 3. Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices have increased by 0.58% to 172,000 CNY/ton, while ammonium paratungstate prices rose by 0.40% to 253,000 CNY/ton [23] - The market is experiencing stable domestic demand, but profitability for downstream smelting enterprises is low [5] 4. Tin - SHFE tin prices have risen by 2.57% to 267,250 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices increased by 4.24% to 33,775 USD/ton [33] - The supply side is constrained due to low operating rates in refining enterprises, while demand remains focused on essential purchases [5] 5. Antimony - Antimony ingot prices have decreased by 4.94% to 192,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices fell by 5.63% to 167,500 CNY/ton [46] - The market is facing tight domestic supply due to reduced smelting output, but long-term demand remains stable [5] 6. Nuclear Fusion New Materials - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is witnessing rapid commercialization, with significant opportunities for upstream materials [6][10] - Notable advancements include the achievement of high-temperature plasma operations and agreements for future power supply [6]