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铁矿石:铁水产量下滑,矿价震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-03-06 02:59
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report indicates that iron ore prices are fluctuating with a decline in hot metal production [1] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Fundamental Tracking - The closing price of iron ore futures I2605 was 759.0 yuan/ton, up 7.0 yuan/ton or 0.93% The position was 498,769 hands, a decrease of 26,804 hands [1] - Among imported iron ore, the price of Carajás fines (65%) was 888.0 yuan/ton, up 4.0 yuan/ton; PB fines (61.5%) was 757.0 yuan/ton, up 5.0 yuan/ton; Jinbuba fines (61%) was 709.0 yuan/ton, up 5.0 yuan/ton; Super Special fines (56.5%) was 643.0 yuan/ton, up 5.0 yuan/ton Among domestic iron ore, the price of Hanxing (66%) and Laiwu (65%) remained unchanged at 910.0 yuan/ton and 828.0 yuan/ton respectively [1] - The basis of I2605 against Super Special fines decreased by 1.6 yuan/ton to 86.7 yuan/ton; the basis against Jinbuba fines decreased by 1.6 yuan/ton to 66.5 yuan/ton The spread of I2605 - I2609 increased by 3.0 yuan/ton to 23.5 yuan/ton, while the spread of I2609 - I2701 remained unchanged at 14.0 yuan/ton The spread of Carajás fines - PB fines decreased by 1.0 yuan/ton to 131.0 yuan/ton, while the spreads of PB fines - Jinbuba fines and PB fines - Super Special fines remained unchanged at 48.0 yuan/ton and 114.0 yuan/ton respectively [1] Macro and Industry News - The 2026 government work report focuses on stabilizing expectations, adjusting the structure, preventing risks, and promoting reforms The GDP growth target is lowered from "around 5%" to "4.5% - 5.0%", and the scale of policy - based financial instruments is increased [1] - The daily average hot metal production of 247 steel enterprises was 227.59 million tons, a decrease of 5.69 million tons compared with the previous period [2] - Five departments in Shanghai jointly issued a notice to optimize and adjust real - estate policies, which came into effect on February 26, 2026 [2] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of iron ore is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [3]