铁锂业务
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富临精工(300432): 2025Q3 业绩点评:铁锂产能扩张提速,盈利修复逐步兑现
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-28 15:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.272 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 151 million yuan, down 15.8% year-on-year but up 197.0% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 139 million yuan, up 6.7% year-on-year and up 265.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.272 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 43.0% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 151 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.8% but a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 197.0%. The non-recurring net profit was 139 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 265.7% [2][4]. Business Segments - The automotive parts business showed stable revenue growth in Q3 2025, with expected steady increases in profitability. The iron-lithium business is anticipated to see an increase in shipments both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter due to downstream customer demand and capacity expansion. The company reported an operating cash inflow of 174 million yuan and capital expenditures of 226 million yuan, with inventory rising to 1.36 billion yuan [11]. Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its iron-lithium production capacity through its subsidiary, Jiangxi Shenghua, which is investing in a new project with an annual capacity of 350,000 tons of high-density lithium iron phosphate, with a total investment of 4 billion yuan. This project is expected to enhance the company's market share in the iron-lithium sector [11]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve over 100% growth in shipments by 2026, driven by capacity expansion and cooperative agreements. The profitability in the iron-lithium segment is on a recovery trend, supported by increased high-density product ratios and reduced costs of lithium dihydrogen phosphate. The robotics business is also showing promising developments, indicating significant future potential [11].
东吴证券:下调富临精工目标价至31.5元,给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-29 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The performance of Fulin Precision (300432) meets market expectations, driven by dual engines of iron-lithium and robotics, with a target price adjustment to 31.5 yuan and a "buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 8.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47%, and a net profit of 400 million yuan, up 173.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.4%, an increase of 6.9 percentage points [1] - In Q4 2024, revenue is projected at 2.59 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.5% and a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, while net profit is expected to be 90 million yuan, down 161.2% quarter-on-quarter and 51.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue is anticipated to be 2.7 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 80.3% and a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 211.9% quarter-on-quarter and 43.7% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Iron-Lithium Business - In 2024, iron-lithium shipments are expected to reach 126,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of nearly 179%, with Q4 shipments at 44,000 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26% [2] - For Q1 2025, shipments are projected to be nearly 50,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 170%, with a target of 250,000 tons for the year, doubling the previous year's output [2] - The company anticipates a recovery in net profit per ton of iron-lithium to 200 yuan in 2025, driven by cost reductions from self-supplied materials [2] Group 3: Automotive Parts Business - In 2024, the automotive parts business is expected to generate revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with new energy components contributing 1.1 billion yuan, up 99% [3] - The gross margin for the automotive parts business is projected at 23.7%, contributing 860 million yuan in gross profit [3] - For Q1 2025, the automotive parts business is expected to contribute a net profit of 80 million yuan, with a stable growth forecast for the year [3] Group 4: Cost Control and Capital Expenditure - In 2024, operating expenses are projected at 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, with an expense ratio of 7.3% [4] - Capital expenditure for 2024 is expected to be 810 million yuan, down 32.3%, while Q1 2025 capital expenditure is projected at 300 million yuan, a significant quarter-on-quarter increase [4] - The company reported operating cash flow of 580 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 88.6% year-on-year [4] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The company has revised its net profit expectations for 2025-2026 to 960 million and 1.54 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 2.04 billion yuan, reflecting significant growth [4] - The target price is set at 31.5 yuan, with a PE ratio of 25x for 2026 [4] - Recent ratings show 7 buy ratings and 1 hold rating from 8 institutions, with an average target price of 27.12 yuan [5]