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全球矿山供应紧张加剧 LME期铜创下历史新高
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-30 03:04
Core Viewpoint - Global mining supply tightens, leading to a historic high in LME copper prices, with an increase of 8.86% this month and 27.38% year-to-date [1] Group 1: Copper Market Dynamics - LME copper price reached $11,049.50 per ton, experiencing a slight decline of 1.20% [1] - Glencore reported a 17% decrease in copper production for the first nine months of the year, prompting a tightening of production guidance for 2025 despite a rise in Q3 output [1] - The China smelter group decided not to set a guidance price for copper concentrate treatment and refining charges (TC/RC) for Q4 [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - Chile's national mining company Enami received environmental approval for a new $1.7 billion copper smelter [1] - Shenyin Wanguo Futures indicated that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, while smelting profits remain at breakeven levels despite high growth in smelting output [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Future Outlook - National Bureau of Statistics data shows positive growth in power grid investment, while power supply investment is slowing; automotive production and sales are growing, but home appliance production is declining, and real estate remains weak [1] - An Indonesian mining accident is likely to shift global copper supply-demand dynamics, providing long-term support for copper prices [1] - Attention is drawn to changes in the US dollar, copper smelting output, and downstream demand [1]