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铝业股再度走高 花旗预计铝将出现结构性短缺 机构看好电解铝红利属性
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 03:36
Group 1 - Aluminum stocks have risen significantly, with Rusal (00486) up 14.81% to HKD 6.9, China Aluminum (601600) (02600) up 4.55% to HKD 13.79, China Hongqiao (01378) up 2.57% to HKD 36.78, and Innovation Industry (02788) up 2.38% to HKD 27.48 [1] - Citigroup has released a report indicating that a structural bull market for aluminum is forming, driven by domestic demand recovery, which is expected to support aluminum consumption growth into early 2026 [1] - Citigroup forecasts a slight structural deficit of 61,000 tons in 2026, raising the 0-3 month aluminum price target from USD 2,950 per ton to USD 3,400 per ton [1] Group 2 - Huachuang Securities maintains a positive outlook on the electrolytic aluminum sector, predicting average profits in the industry to be around CNY 7,600 per ton this week, with expectations for sustained high profits in the future [1] - The report highlights that electrolytic aluminum companies are entering a phase of cash flow recovery and stable profitability, which enhances their ability and willingness to return capital to shareholders [1] - The low capital expenditure intensity expected in the industry suggests that the dividend-paying attributes of listed companies in the electrolytic aluminum sector are becoming more pronounced [1]
港股异动 | 铝业股再度走高 花旗预计铝将出现结构性短缺 机构看好电解铝红利属性
智通财经网· 2026-01-26 03:33
Group 1 - Aluminum stocks have risen significantly, with Rusal up 14.81% to HKD 6.9, China Aluminum up 4.55% to HKD 13.79, China Hongqiao up 2.57% to HKD 36.78, and Innovation Industry up 2.38% to HKD 27.48 [1] - Citigroup has reported that a structural bull market for aluminum is forming, driven by pre-emptive domestic demand and recovery, providing incremental support for aluminum consumption into early 2026 [1] - Citigroup forecasts a slight structural deficit of 61,000 tons in 2026, raising the 0-3 month aluminum price target from USD 2,950 per ton to USD 3,400 per ton [1] Group 2 - Huachuang Securities remains optimistic about the electrolytic aluminum sector, predicting an average profit of approximately CNY 7,600 per ton this week, with expectations for sustained high profits in the future [1] - The overall cash flow of electrolytic aluminum companies has been improving, and the ability and willingness to increase shareholder returns is becoming more pronounced due to low future capital expenditure intensity [1] - The dividend asset attributes of the electrolytic aluminum industry are gradually becoming evident, indicating strong elasticity and dividend potential [1]