铝循环再生

Search documents
中孚实业(600595):氧化铝价格走弱+电解铝权益产能提升,Q2业绩大幅增长
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-31 06:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [7]. Core Views - The company achieved significant growth in Q2 2025, with a notable increase in net profit driven by improved electrolytic aluminum production capacity and a decline in alumina prices [1][2]. - The company’s net profit for H1 2025 reached 710 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.6%, while revenue decreased by 3.8% to 10.57 billion yuan [1]. - The report highlights the positive impact of rising processing fees and stable sales in aluminum deep processing products, leading to a 56% increase in net profit for H1 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 10.57 billion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year, while net profit was 710 million yuan, up 59.6% [1]. - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 5.55 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year but an increase of 10.6% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit reaching 480 million yuan, up 19.4% year-on-year and 107.2% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Production and Pricing - The company completed the acquisition of a 24% stake in Zhongfu Aluminum, increasing its electrolytic aluminum production capacity to 750,000 tons [2]. - The average aluminum price in H1 2025 was 20,321 yuan per ton, up 2.7% year-on-year, while alumina prices decreased by 0.3% to 3,518 yuan per ton [2]. Profitability - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 11.7%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 5.9%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s deep processing aluminum products achieved a sales volume of 293,000 tons, with net profit increasing by 56% year-on-year, attributed to rising processing fees [3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will achieve net profits of 1.83 billion yuan, 2.46 billion yuan, and 2.73 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 12, 9, and 8 times [5]. - The company plans to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% from 2025 to 2027 as part of its shareholder return strategy [3].