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银行行业快评报告:板块业绩回暖,大行规模增速提升
Wanlian Securities· 2025-09-18 09:41
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating an expected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the broader market within the next six months [4][7]. Core Insights - The net profit growth of 42 listed banks turned positive in Q2, with a year-on-year increase of 3.0% for the quarter and 0.8% for the first half of 2025, benefiting from a comprehensive improvement in revenue [1]. - The net interest margin (NIM) decline has narrowed, with a NIM of 1.53% for the first half of 2025, down 8 basis points from the beginning of the year, showing an improvement compared to the 14 basis points decline in the same period last year [1]. - The overall asset growth rate of the industry has increased, with total assets of 42 listed banks growing by 9.6% year-on-year as of the end of the first half of 2025, reflecting a 2.1 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [2]. - Asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.23% as of the end of the first half of 2025, remaining largely unchanged from the previous quarter [2]. - The report suggests that the improvement in bank performance in Q2 2025 reflects strong operational resilience, with expectations for stability in performance increasing [3]. Summary by Sections Profitability - The net profit of listed banks showed a year-on-year growth of 3.0% in Q2 2025, with a 0.8% increase in the first half of 2025, reversing the negative trend observed in Q1 2025 [1]. - Revenue for listed banks increased by 1.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with a notable improvement in non-interest income [1]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio for the industry was 1.23% as of the end of the first half of 2025, with a slight decrease in the attention rate and an increase in the overdue rate [2]. - The provision coverage ratio stood at 287.29%, reflecting a minor decrease from the previous quarter [2]. Market Outlook - The report indicates that the current dividend yield of the banking sector remains attractive, and regulatory encouragement for increased market participation by insurance funds is expected to support the sector's valuation [3]. - Future incremental capital is anticipated to sustain the sector's market performance [3].