Core Viewpoint - The banking sector's performance in Q3 is temporarily affected by non-interest income disturbances, but steady growth in scale continues to support overall performance, with a stable trend in interest margins and improving net interest income [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profitability - In Q1-Q3 2025, listed banks' revenue grew by 0.9% year-on-year, with pre-provision profit increasing by 0.62% and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 1.46%, showing a recovery from earlier declines [1] - The annualized weighted average ROE stands at 10.61%, down by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a mixed performance across the sector [1] Group 2: Asset Quality and Provisioning - As of the end of September, the non-performing loan ratio for listed banks is 1.15%, unchanged from the first half of the year, with stable asset quality expected for corporate loans and manageable risks in retail [4] - The provision coverage ratio is at 283.17%, down by 4.11 percentage points from the first half, with an increased release of provisions contributing to net profit growth [4] Group 3: Interest Income and Cost of Liabilities - In Q1-Q3 2025, net interest income for listed banks decreased by 0.62% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to the first half of the year, indicating a stabilization in interest margins [2] - The sample banks' net interest margin is at 1.55%, down by 1 basis point from the first half, with improvements in deposit costs and active adjustments in liability structures supporting this trend [2] Group 4: Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income growth for listed banks has slowed to 4.98% year-on-year, with middle-income sources improving by 4.6%, primarily benefiting from a recovering capital market [3] - Investment income has increased by 20.59% year-on-year, despite fluctuations in other non-interest income due to bond market volatility [3] Group 5: Recommendations - The report recommends investment in specific banks including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank of China, Jiangsu Bank, Hangzhou Bank, and China Merchants Bank [5]

广发证券指出，国有大行、股份行、城商行及农商行均实现正收益，其中农商行涨幅达7.12%，显示市 场对银行板块的阶段性偏好。当前板块经过前期调整已重回价值区间，叠加年底配置需求升温，银行板 块或处于筑底阶段，具备一定配置吸引力。 今日，银行板块逆势飘红，银行ETF基金微涨，近5个交易日吸引净流入资金，超2.6亿元，净流率 30.60%。 近期，银行板块在市场整体回调背景下表现亮眼，2025年10月13日至17日期间，中信一级银行指数上涨 5.0%，位居所有行业首位，显著跑赢万得全A指数。 ...

7月30日，银行止跌向上，百亿顶流银行ETF（512800）早盘平开后震荡攀升，场内价格一度涨逾1%， 现涨0．94%，实时成交额近8亿元，交投活跃。 | 455 85 81 FB 885 GAR FO MES ROSEM BILL ( ) ( ) > | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512800.SHIBIFETFI 2025/04/10 枚0.742 幅0.02%(0.000 FF0.736 高0.744 低0.735 地元 MAS 0.7461 MA10 07541 MA20 0.7481 MA120 @729T MA250 0.6761 MA250 0.6761 (91ED) = 0 | 0.857 +0.008 +0.94% | | 512800 | | 0.920 | SSE (NY 13:25:19 安徽中 | | 通用工作 | | | 净值走势华宝中证假行ETF | 15.36% 120日 | 15.759 | | | 委书 10.15% 委员676729 | -1.72% 250日 | 31.07 | | 0.870 | 盘五 0.861 146009 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive," indicating an expected overall return exceeding 5% above the CSI 300 index in the next six months [41]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the banking sector remains attractive as a dividend asset under a moderately loose monetary policy environment. It suggests focusing on companies benefiting from incremental policy improvements and those with strong fundamentals and regional advantages [6][39]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index experienced slight declines of -0.03% and -1.08%, respectively, while the Shenwan Banking Index rose by 0.04%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 1.12 percentage points [4][10]. - Among the major banking sectors, state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks had varying performances, with the rural commercial banks showing a positive change of 0.41% [12][13]. Data Tracking - As of May 30, 2025, the banking sector's PB-LF valuation stands at 0.67 times, placing it in the 74.50 percentile over the past five years. The median dividend yield for individual stocks is 4.40%, exceeding the 10-year government bond yield by 2.73 percentage points [5][23]. - The total social financing stock reached 424 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.70%. The loan and deposit balances of Chinese banks were 258.36 trillion yuan and 293.94 trillion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.73% and 7.99% [5][39]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes the establishment of the Inner Mongolia Rural Commercial Bank, marking the completion of rural financial institution reforms in ten provinces. This bank has a registered capital of 58 billion yuan and represents a significant milestone in local financial reform [40]. - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in credit report inquiry fees, which is expected to save users approximately 1.1 billion yuan annually [39][40]. Recommended Companies and Ratings - The report recommends the following companies with respective ratings: - CITIC Bank: "Increase" - China Merchants Bank: "Buy" - Chongqing Bank: "Increase" - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank: "Buy" [3][40].