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不出意外!2025年下半年,国内或将迎来6大趋势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-20 05:02
Economic Overview - The domestic economy shows promising performance with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [1] - The average wage income for residents reached 12,628 yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.7% [1] - Consumer Price Index (CPI) has slightly decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, indicating stable price levels [1] - Challenges remain in the real estate market, consumer demand, and employment situation, suggesting a prolonged recovery for the real economy [1] Trends in the Market - **Trend 1: Divergence in Housing Prices** Housing prices are expected to show divergence, with second and third-tier cities experiencing a slowdown in price declines, while first-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen may face further price corrections [3][5] - **Trend 2: Increased Demand for Bank Wealth Management Products** As bank deposit rates decline from 3.05% to 1.55% for three-year fixed deposits, more savers are turning to bank wealth management products for better returns, despite rising risks associated with these products [7] - **Trend 3: Employment Challenges for Individuals Over 35** Many companies prefer hiring individuals under 35, making it increasingly difficult for those over 35 to find jobs, leading to a rise in self-employment and gig work among older individuals [9] - **Trend 4: Record Low Birth Rates in 2025** The birth rate is projected to hit a historical low, with only 4.32 million births in the first half of 2025, potentially falling below 9 million for the entire year due to high marriage and housing costs [11] - **Trend 5: Acceleration of Rural Entrepreneurship** There is a growing trend of individuals returning to their hometowns to start businesses, driven by high living costs in major cities and rapid economic growth in rural areas [13] - **Trend 6: Proliferation of Artificial Intelligence** AI is increasingly integrated into daily life, with applications in customer service, delivery, and manufacturing, indicating a shift towards automation in various sectors [14]