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永安期货:生猪周报-20250626
Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.04% to 3455.97 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.72% and the ChiNext Index surged by 3.11%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed up 1.23% at 24474.67 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 1.15% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.13%[1] - The total trading volume in the Hong Kong market reached 267.8 billion HKD[1] Federal Reserve and Regulatory Changes - The Federal Reserve plans to relax capital regulations for major banks, proposing to lower the Enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio (eSLR) from the current 5% to a range of 3.5%-4.5%[12] - This change is expected to allow banks like Bank of America and Goldman Sachs to hold more U.S. Treasury securities, enhancing market resilience[12] Geopolitical Developments - President Trump announced that the U.S. will hold talks with Iran next week, claiming that the Middle East conflict has ended[12] - Iran reported significant damage to its nuclear facilities due to U.S. airstrikes, which Trump described as "thoroughly destroying" these sites[12] Currency and Monetary Policy - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) bought 9.42 billion HKD to maintain the currency peg after the HKD/USD exchange rate hit the weak end of the trading band[12] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a net liquidity injection of 318 billion CNY in June, the largest in four months, to support the economy amid rising debt issuance[12]