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万联证券:锂电行业盈利边际修复 固态电池突破加速
智通财经网· 2025-07-31 07:33
智通财经APP获悉,万联证券发布研报称,2025年,在以旧换新等消费激励政策驱动下,我国新能源汽 车产销量高速增长,叠加全球储能装机增势稳定,锂电产业链需求持续提升,盈利水平显著修复,龙头 公司竞争优势增强。展望后市,锂电池产业链整体趋势向好,有望逐步进入周期复苏阶段,建议关注行 业业绩修复、固态电池技术突破两大核心主线:(1)行业业绩修复:建议关注锂电行业龙头公司业绩修 复带动估值回升的投资机会。(2)固态电池技术突破:建议关注在电池、电解质材料、正负极及辅材等 关键材料环节布局领先且具备技术优势的企业。 万联证券主要观点如下: 需求端:新能源汽车+储能双驱动,锂电需求持续提升 (2)电解质环节:固态电池增量环节,氧化物及硫化物电解质为企业主要布局方向,其中,氧化物电解 质以LLZO、LATP为主,主要由上游材料厂商向下延伸布局,硫化物电解质则以LGPS、LPSX为主流选 择方向,正极、隔膜等锂电材料厂商是重点布局企业。另外,硫化锂成本占比高,是硫化物电解质降本 关键,有望成为硫化物路线突破重点; (3)负极材料:固态电池材料主要升级环节,硅碳负极理论质量容量高,是中短期的主要方案,金属锂 负极具有高比容、 ...
2025年中期锂电行业投资策略报告:行业盈利边际修复,固态电池突破加速-20250731
Wanlian Securities· 2025-07-31 06:52
Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in the profitability margins of the lithium battery industry, driven by strong demand from the electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage sectors, with a significant increase in production and sales volumes [2][3] - The report emphasizes two main investment themes: industry performance recovery and breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology [2][3] Demand Side - The demand for lithium batteries is being driven by the dual forces of electric vehicles and energy storage, with a notable increase in sales and production [3][30] - In the first half of 2025, China's new energy vehicle sales reached 6.94 million units, a year-on-year increase of 40.31%, with a penetration rate of 44.33% [3][22] - Exports of new energy vehicles also saw a remarkable growth of 75.21% year-on-year, indicating strong demand from emerging markets [3][25] Supply Side - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with overall revenue in Q1 2025 reaching 187.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.82% [4][49] - The competitive landscape is improving, with Chinese companies gaining market share in both domestic and international markets, particularly in the production of power and energy storage batteries [4][49] - Capital expenditures in the lithium battery sector are showing signs of recovery, with Q1 2025 marking the first positive growth after seven consecutive quarters of decline [4][49] New Technology - Solid-state battery technology is advancing rapidly, entering a critical phase of technical validation, which is expected to drive upgrades across the industry [9][4] - The report identifies key segments within the solid-state battery supply chain, including battery cells, electrolytes, and materials, where companies with technological advantages are likely to benefit [9][4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery sector that are poised for performance recovery, as the industry is currently valued at a low point compared to historical averages [2][4] - It also recommends monitoring companies that are leading in the development of solid-state battery technologies, as these advancements are expected to significantly enhance battery performance [9][4]