Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of operations at the Jiangxi-based lithium mica mine, Jiangxiawo, owned by CATL, has sparked industry discussions regarding the duration of the shutdown and its implications for the lithium market [1][3][4]. Company Summary - CATL is currently processing the renewal application for its mining license, and it has stated that the suspension will not significantly impact its overall operations [3][14]. - The Jiangxiawo mine is CATL's largest lithium mica source, and its activities are crucial for the lithium mica and carbonate markets [4][14]. - The mine's average ore grade is approximately 0.27%, making it one of the higher-cost mines in Jiangxi [14]. Industry Summary - The suspension began on August 10, 2023, and has led to a noticeable decrease in mining activity and transportation of materials to the nearby processing plant [6][8]. - The lithium carbonate market is currently facing challenges, with production costs for lithium mica ranging from 80,000 to 120,000 yuan per ton, while current lithium carbonate prices do not cover these costs [14][17]. - The total output of lithium carbonate in 2024 is projected to be 1.33 million tons, with 222,000 tons (16.4%) sourced from lithium mica [13]. - The market is speculating on the reasons for the suspension, including potential misalignment between the licensed mining products and actual outputs, as well as broader industry trends towards reducing overproduction [17][18].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that CATL's lithium mica mine in Yichun has ceased operations since August 10, which raises questions about the supply-demand dynamics of lithium carbonate [1] - CATL is currently processing an application for the renewal of its mining license, stating that the impact on overall operations is minimal [1] - In contrast, Guoxuan High-Tech's lithium mica mine in Yichun remains operational, indicating a disparity in production activities between the two companies [1] Group 2 - The media platform "True Lithium Research" suggests that without a significant reduction in actual production capacity, the supply-demand gap for lithium resources will continue to widen, leading to a situation where supply growth slightly outpaces demand growth [1] - It is anticipated that lithium prices will decline until a significant reversal in supply-demand dynamics occurs, specifically when supply is substantially lower than demand, which would signal a true price turning point [1]