在投资逻辑方面，圆信永丰高端制造的基金经理党伟表示："锂电行业周期筑底，固态电池产业化渐行 渐近。锂电行业经过3年下行期，底部特征已经非常明显，2024年三季度产业链盈利能力确认见底回 升。固态电池在国内外产业及政策大力推进之下，2025年进入中试关键期，2026年预计进入量产元年。 整体上，我们看好本轮产业周期底部回升叠加产品创新周期带来的板块性机会。" 业内人士认为，在政策支持与技术不断进步的双重推动下，全固态电池的成本正逐步下降，应用范围持 续扩大。未来，它有望广泛应用于新能源汽车、低空飞行器、机器人、储能系统以及消费电子等多个领 域，实现规模化落地。 中证报中证网讯（记者 魏昭宇）近期，高端制造业持续吸引市场目光成为焦点领域。其中，作为制造 业技术升级的重要代表，固态电池的产业化进程备受关注。二级市场方面，不少高端制造主题基金颇受 资金青睐，部分基金的净值因重仓固态电池板块不断创新高。以圆信永丰高端制造A为例，数据显示， 9月10日，圆信永丰高端制造A的份额净值迎来近3年新高，达到2.5835元。 具体来看，截至第二季度末，圆信永丰高端制造A持仓结构高度集中固态电池领域，其前十大重仓股清 晰反映出对固 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On August 25, 2025, the 2511 contract of lithium carbonate futures dropped 0.3% to 79,380 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 1,400 yuan/ton to 82,500 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate also dropped 1,400 yuan/ton to 80,200 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) fell 160 yuan/ton to 77,330 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 640 tons to 25,630 tons [3]. - Fundamentally, on the supply side, production slowed down slightly, mainly due to the suspension of mica production. In the future, with the previous price increase and the increase in overseas imports, lithium extraction from spodumene is expected to continue to increase. Currently, the high成交 price of ore still supports the price of lithium carbonate. On the demand side, the total demand in August increased by 6% month - on - month. September is the traditional peak season, downstream production scheduling is expected to remain strong, and downstream inventory replenishment willingness is strong. The social inventory remains at 141,000 tons, showing a two - week slight de - stocking state, and the downstream procurement behavior has increased [3]. - The production problems of known resource projects have basically been settled. After the rapid price increase last week, there is short - term callback pressure, waiting for new disturbing factors to drive the price. In the short term, pay attention to the成交 price of lithium ore, and in the medium term, focus on the progress of other projects that need to complete report compilation and submission by September 30 [3]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - **Futures**: The closing price of the main contract was 79,380 yuan/ton, up 420 yuan from August 22; the closing price of the continuous contract was 79,580 yuan/ton, up 400 yuan [5]. - **Lithium Ore**: The price of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was $925/ton, down $9; the price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) was 1,265 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan; the price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) was 1,995 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan; the price of amblygonite (Li2O: 6% - 7%) was 6,685 yuan/ton, down 65 yuan; the price of amblygonite (Li2O: 7% - 8%) was 7,735 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan [5]. - **Lithium Carbonate and Lithium Hydroxide**: The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 82,500 yuan/ton, down 1,400 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 80,200 yuan/ton, down 1,400 yuan; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) was 77,330 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) was 82,300 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan; the price of industrial - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) was 72,210 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan; the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (CIF China, Japan and South Korea) was $8.85/kg, unchanged [5]. - **Lithium Hexafluorophosphate**: The price was 56,300 yuan/ton, unchanged [5]. - **Price Difference**: The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 2,300 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate was - 5,170 yuan/ton, up 1,240 yuan; CIF China, Japan and South Korea battery - grade lithium hydroxide - SMM battery - grade lithium hydroxide was - 14,352.52 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan [5]. - **Precursor and Cathode Materials**: The price of ternary precursor 523 (polycrystalline/power type) was 77,265 yuan/ton, up 120 yuan; the price of ternary precursor 523 (single - crystal/consumer type) was 76,830 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of ternary precursor 622 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 72,620 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan; the price of ternary precursor 811 (polycrystalline/power type) was 90,795 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan; the price of ternary material 523 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 114,460 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) was 119,525 yuan/ton, down 300 yuan; the price of ternary material 622 (polycrystalline/consumer type) was 117,890 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of ternary material 811 (power type) was 145,950 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan; the price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was 35,810 yuan/ton, down 340 yuan; the price of lithium iron phosphate (mid - high - end energy storage) was 34,410 yuan/ton, down 340 yuan; the price of lithium iron phosphate (low - end energy storage) was 31,550 yuan/ton, down 320 yuan; the price of lithium manganate (power type) was 36,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of lithium manganate (capacity type) was 33,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of cobalt acid lithium (60%, 4.35V/domestic) was 227,600 yuan/ton, down 200 yuan [5]. - **Cells and Batteries**: The price of 523 square ternary cells was 0.385 yuan/Wh, unchanged; the price of 523 soft - pack ternary cells was 0.4 yuan/Wh, unchanged; the price of 523 cylindrical ternary batteries was 4.33 yuan/piece, up 0.01 yuan; the price of square lithium iron phosphate cells was 0.325 yuan/Wh, up 0.002 yuan; the price of square lithium iron phosphate cells (small power type) was 0.33 yuan/Wh, unchanged; the price of cobalt acid lithium cells was 5.75 yuan/Ah, up 0.2 yuan; the price of square lithium iron phosphate batteries was 0.301 yuan/Wh, unchanged [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - **Ore Price**: Charts show the price trends of spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF), lithium mica (1.5% - 2.0%), lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%), and amblygonite (6% - 7%, 7% - 8%) from 2024 to 2025 [6][8]. - **Lithium and Lithium Salt Price**: Charts display the price trends of metallic lithium, battery - grade lithium carbonate average price, industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price, battery - grade lithium hydroxide price, industrial - grade lithium hydroxide price, and lithium hexafluorophosphate price from 2024 to 2025 [11][13][15]. - **Price Difference**: Charts present the price difference trends between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, CIF China, Japan and South Korea battery - grade lithium hydroxide - battery - grade lithium hydroxide, battery - grade lithium carbonate (CIF Asia) - domestic, and the basis from 2024 to 2025 [19][22][24]. - **Precursor and Cathode Materials**: Charts show the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium manganate, and cobalt acid lithium from 2024 to 2025 [25][27][29]. - **Lithium Battery Price**: Charts display the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [31][34]. - **Inventory**: Charts show the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other links of lithium carbonate from January to August 2025 [38][40][41]. - **Production Cost**: A chart shows the production cost trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials (外购三元极片黑粉, 外购磷酸铁锂极片黑粉, 外购锂云母精矿, 外购锂辉石精矿) from 2024 to 2025 [44].

Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of operations at the Jiangxi-based lithium mica mine, Jiangxiawo, owned by CATL, has sparked industry discussions regarding the duration of the shutdown and its implications for the lithium market [1][3][4]. Company Summary - CATL is currently processing the renewal application for its mining license, and it has stated that the suspension will not significantly impact its overall operations [3][14]. - The Jiangxiawo mine is CATL's largest lithium mica source, and its activities are crucial for the lithium mica and carbonate markets [4][14]. - The mine's average ore grade is approximately 0.27%, making it one of the higher-cost mines in Jiangxi [14]. Industry Summary - The suspension began on August 10, 2023, and has led to a noticeable decrease in mining activity and transportation of materials to the nearby processing plant [6][8]. - The lithium carbonate market is currently facing challenges, with production costs for lithium mica ranging from 80,000 to 120,000 yuan per ton, while current lithium carbonate prices do not cover these costs [14][17]. - The total output of lithium carbonate in 2024 is projected to be 1.33 million tons, with 222,000 tons (16.4%) sourced from lithium mica [13]. - The market is speculating on the reasons for the suspension, including potential misalignment between the licensed mining products and actual outputs, as well as broader industry trends towards reducing overproduction [17][18].

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In July 2025, the CPI year-on-year remained flat at 0.0%, down from a 0.1% increase in the previous month, with a cumulative decline of 0.1% from January to July[1] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose to 0.8% year-on-year in July, indicating a slight improvement in the basic price level[2] - The decline in food CPI was significant, with a year-on-year drop expanding from -0.3% to -1.6%, primarily due to high base prices from the previous year[3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI year-on-year decreased by 3.6% in July, maintaining the same decline as the previous month, with a cumulative decline of 2.9% from January to July[1] - The PPI month-on-month fell by 0.2%, but the decline was less severe than in previous months, indicating a stabilization in industrial prices[8] - The "anti-involution" policy has led to improved market price expectations, contributing to a narrowing of the PPI decline in July[9] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The overall price level remains weak, driven by insufficient consumer demand and a prolonged adjustment in the real estate market[6] - Future macroeconomic policies are expected to focus on promoting reasonable price recovery, with potential for further fiscal stimulus and interest rate cuts[7] - The uncertainty in the international trade environment poses ongoing downward pressure on export industrial prices, which may affect domestic PPI trends[12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the price of lithium carbonate futures contracts increased significantly, with the long - term contract basis changing from positive to negative. Due to the suspension of production at Ningde Times' Shixiawo mining area and no short - term resumption plan, it is expected that the price of lithium carbonate will rise significantly. Before overseas mines, lithium carbonate, and lithium sulfate significantly increase to make up for the gap, the price of lithium carbonate is expected to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, the resumption of the project needs to be closely monitored, and after resumption, the price will quickly fall to the price center with increased costs [1][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Price Trends - The price of lithium carbonate futures contracts increased significantly. The 2509 contract closed at 76,640 yuan/ton, a weekly increase of 7,720 yuan/ton; the 2511 contract closed at 76,960 yuan/ton, also a weekly increase of 7,720 yuan/ton. The spot price increased by 550 yuan/ton to 71,900 yuan/ton. The SMM spot - futures basis (2509 contract) decreased by 7,170 yuan/ton to - 4,740 yuan/ton, and the Fubao trader's premium/discount quote was - 170 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged week - on - week. The spread between the 2509 - 2511 contracts was - 320 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged month - on - month [1] 3.2 Supply and Demand Fundamentals 3.2.1 Macro - On August 9, it was learned from multiple market sources that the mining end of Ningde Times' Shixiawo mining area will stop production at 12 o'clock tonight. Starting from August 10, the mining end of this mine will stop working, and there is no short - term resumption plan [2] 3.2.2 Supply - From July 28 to August 3, 2025, the total shipment of Australian lithium concentrate to China was 129,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 80,000 tons. In July, the export volume of lithium carbonate from Chile was 20,900 tons, a month - on - month increase of 43%, of which 13,600 tons were exported to China, a month - on - month increase of 33% [2] 3.2.3 Demand - This week, the new energy passenger vehicle market continued to recover, with sales of 245,000 units, a month - on - month increase of 3.81% and a year - on - year increase of 9.38%. The new energy penetration rate slightly declined to 53% but still remained at a high level. The winning bid scale of energy storage continued to increase month - on - month. In July, the domestic energy storage market completed a total of 9.0GW/25.8GWh of tendering work, a month - on - month increase of 10% and a year - on - year increase of 34.24% [2] 3.2.4 Inventory - The total social inventory of lithium carbonate increased, with upstream destocking and downstream inventory accumulation. The lithium carbonate inventory was 142,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 692 tons, and the number of futures warehouse receipts increased to 18,800 tons [2] 3.3 Future Market Views - Due to the suspension of production at Ningde Times' Shixiawo mining area and no short - term resumption plan, it is expected that the price of lithium carbonate will rise significantly. Before overseas mines, lithium carbonate, and lithium sulfate significantly increase to make up for the gap, the price of lithium carbonate is expected to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, the resumption of the project needs to be closely monitored, and after resumption, the price will quickly fall to the price center with increased costs [3] 3.4 Trading Strategies 3.4.1 Single - sided - The price of the futures main contract is expected to range from 75,000 to 100,000 yuan/ton [4] 3.4.2 Inter - period - It is recommended to wait for the structure to strengthen, then consider the upward movement of the single - sided price. With a negative long - term contract basis, the number of warehouse receipts will increase significantly, which is suitable for reverse arbitrage [4] 3.4.3 Hedging - It is recommended to conduct sell - hedging after the price rebounds to a high level, and the hedging ratio should consider the annual output in the second half of the year [4]

Group 1 - In the first half of the year, the registration scale of "insurance version ABS" exceeded 180 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 46% [1] - 13 insurance asset management institutions registered 38 asset-backed plans, indicating a strong demand for stable cash flow and lower risk compared to equity assets [1] - The decline in operating loan rates below 3% indicates ongoing pressure on banks' net interest margins and profitability [1][2] Group 2 - The number of A-share companies intending to acquire IPO candidates has significantly increased, with 27 companies disclosing plans compared to 6 last year [1] - The surge in acquisition plans is attributed to policy benefits, increased exit demands from venture capital, accelerated industry consolidation, and valuation advantages of IPO candidates [1] - The solid-state battery technology is expected to gradually find applications across multiple fields, with significant advancements in energy density and safety [2] - The lithium battery industry is focusing on optimizing capacity structure, moving away from price competition towards quality and innovation [2] Group 3 - Apple COO Jeff Williams announced his retirement, marking a significant personnel change within the company [4] - The restructuring of Chang'an Group is expected to be finalized in August, indicating a strategic shift in the automotive sector [6] - GAC Fiat Chrysler has declared bankruptcy due to the lack of restructuring possibilities [6] Group 4 - ByteDance denied rumors regarding the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium led by Oracle, stating the information is false [5] - The IPO of Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical has seen a subscription rate of 108 times for its public offering in Hong Kong [7] - Meicheng Technology has initiated the IPO counseling process with CITIC Securities for its listing on A-shares [8]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, consistent with the previous month, resulting in a cumulative decline of 0.1% from January to May[1][4] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, remained below 1.0%, indicating a weak domestic price level primarily due to insufficient consumer demand[2][4] - The decline in CPI was influenced by a 6.1% year-on-year drop in energy prices, which contributed approximately 0.47 percentage points to the overall CPI decrease[5][4] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI fell by 3.3% year-on-year in May, with the decline accelerating by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, reflecting weakened pricing momentum and increased drag from base effects[2][9] - Month-on-month, the PPI decreased by 0.4%, maintaining the same decline rate as the previous two months[2][9] - Key sectors such as coal, steel, and cement experienced price declines due to weak domestic demand and ample supply, contributing to the overall PPI decrease[8][10] Group 3: Future Outlook - CPI is expected to hover around 0% in June, while the PPI year-on-year decline is projected to remain at approximately -3.3%[3][12] - The government aims to implement macroeconomic policies to promote reasonable price recovery in the second half of the year, which may include fiscal measures to boost consumption and further interest rate cuts by the central bank[3][12] - The impact of external economic fluctuations on consumer confidence and potential downward pressure from "export to domestic" shifts will be critical to monitor[7][12]