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芒果超媒(300413):2025Q3广告重回正增长,关注《声鸣远扬》招商和播出表现:——芒果超媒(300413):2025Q3业绩点评
Guohai Securities· 2025-10-30 08:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 revenue was 3.099 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 6.58%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 252 million yuan, down 33.47% year-over-year [4][5] - Increased content and R&D investments have led to a decline in performance, with R&D expenses rising by 70.3% year-over-year [5] - The average monthly active users (MAU) for Mango TV increased by approximately 11.08% year-over-year, driven by the release of new series [6] - Advertising revenue showed positive growth in Q3 2025, contrasting with a decline in the first half of the year [7] - The company is expected to benefit from a rich pipeline of upcoming series, which may boost membership numbers [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2025 revenue: 30.99 billion yuan (YOY -6.58%, QOQ +1.18%) [5] - Q3 2025 net profit: 2.52 billion yuan (YOY -33.47%, QOQ -34.35%) [5] - Gross margin: 27.59% (down 2.19 percentage points year-over-year) [5] - Sales/management/R&D expense ratios: 17.7%/3.3%/2.1%, with year-over-year increases [5] Future Projections - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 124.53 billion yuan, 136.53 billion yuan, and 149.37 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 13.29 billion yuan, 19.64 billion yuan, and 25.17 billion yuan [8][10] - Expected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 40.7, 27.5, and 21.5 respectively [8][10]