2026 年 03 月 02 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、2025 与 2026Q1 业绩符合公司预期，高端处理器市场版图快速扩展-- 海光信息/半导体(688041/212701) 科创板公司动态研究 分析师：刘熹 S0350523040001 联系人：唐锦珂 S0350125070014 事件: [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2026 年第 30 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 2025 与 2026Q1 业绩符合公司预期，高端处理器市场版图快速扩展--海光信息/半导体(688041/212701) 科创 板公司动态研究 可转债市场机构行为全景与策略启示——机构行为 100 篇（一）--固定收益专题研究 磷矿资源属性凸显，看好磷化工一体化产业链--行业动态研究 AI 业务快速增长，已成为公司业绩新驱动力--百度集团-SW/数字媒体(09888/217207) 点评报告（港股美股） 延续高质量增长，入境游成为强劲增长引擎--携程集团-S/旅游及景区(09961/214610) ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in online subscription revenue and is actively developing AI features to enhance user experience [2][6] - The adjusted operating profit has increased by over 30% year-on-year, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability [5] - The company is focusing on expanding its music copyright and has introduced several AI functionalities to enrich the music experience [11] Financial Performance Summary - In 2025, the company reported revenue of 77.59 billion, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a more cautious approach to social entertainment services [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 27.48 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 76.0% year-on-year [8] - The adjusted net profit reached 28.60 billion, up 68.2% year-on-year, with a notable reduction in tax expenses [8] - The gross margin for 2025 was 35.7%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the adjusted operating profit margin was 22.34%, up 5.9 percentage points [8] - The company ended 2025 with cash reserves of 121.75 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.2% [8] Revenue and User Growth - The online music business revenue for 2025 was 59.94 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.0%, driven by an increase in paid users and enhanced user experience [8] - The number of paid users has increased, contributing to the growth in subscription revenue, which reached 50.53 billion, up 13.3% year-on-year [8] - The company’s monthly active users (MAU) have shown stable growth, maintaining a daily active users (DAU) to MAU ratio of over 30% [8] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2026 to 2028 are 84.79 billion, 91.16 billion, and 96.99 billion respectively, with expected growth rates of 9.27%, 7.52%, and 6.39% [10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline to 20.59 billion in 2026, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [10] - The adjusted net profit is expected to be 21.79 billion in 2026, with a corresponding adjusted P/E ratio of 14 [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the impact of technological elements showcased during the Spring Festival Gala on the A-share market, particularly in driving short-term sentiment and reinforcing long-term industry trends, especially in the robotics sector [2][3] - Analysts suggest that the Spring Festival Gala serves as a "stock selection guide," indicating strong performance in technology-related sectors post-festival, with a focus on companies with strong earnings certainty [3][4] - The overall sentiment in the A-share market is expected to improve post-festival, with analysts predicting a new upward trend driven by favorable policies and market conditions [5][6] Group 2 - The Spring Festival Gala featured significant technological elements, including robots, AI applications, and large-scale drone shows, which are expected to influence investor sentiment and market performance [3][4] - Analysts believe that the upcoming period will see a shift towards sectors benefiting from improved supply-demand dynamics and industry profit recovery, with a focus on materials, chemicals, and technology [6] - There is an emphasis on the importance of individual stock performance over broad market indices, suggesting a "light index, heavy stock" strategy for investors [6]

经济观察网 根据2026年2月24日的市场数据，人民网（603000）股价出现显著下跌。截至当日10:13， 其最新价格为23.23元，较前一交易日收盘价下跌9.68%。该股当日开盘价为24.35元，最高触及24.44 元，最低下探至23.15元（即跌停价格），成交金额约为14.79亿元，换手率为5.65%。 股价异动原因 公司基本面 基本面上，根据公司2025年三季报，前三季度营业收入同比下降3.29%，归母净利润同比下降40.10%。 公司正通过多元业务布局应对行业压力，内容科技、数据及信息服务等延展业务收入占比已提升至 47.43%。此外，公司于2月7日完成治理结构优化，包括取消监事会、修订制度及新聘高管等举措，以 强化战略稳定性。 行业政策现状 宏观层面，春节后市场流动性面临逆回购到期等因素影响，而机构观点显示，科技成长板块在经历前期 强势后进入高位震荡格局，可能对传媒、AI相关题材股情绪产生一定影响。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 此次股价波动发生在特定市场环境下。2月10日，人民网曾因治理结构优化、业务聚焦内容科技赛道以 及传媒板块集体走强等因素涨停，收盘报26.27元，主力资金当日 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in its core business, driven by content expansion and AI applications [1][4] - In 2025, the company reported revenue of 7.76 billion yuan (down 2.4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 2.75 billion yuan (up 76.0% year-on-year), primarily due to improved profitability and a tax credit of approximately 680 million yuan [4][5] - The company anticipates a gradual increase in ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) driven by high-quality content, despite a short-term impact from changes in membership structure [4][5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue for 2025 was 77.6 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 35.7% (up 2 percentage points year-on-year) [4][6] - The company achieved a net profit margin of 35.4% in 2025, with an expected net profit of 2.10 billion yuan for 2026 [6] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 15.0, 13.4, and 11.9 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhaochuang Information, is leveraging AI technology to enhance its data analysis and information services in the bulk commodity market, aiming to improve operational efficiency and customer experience. Group 1: Company Overview - Zhaochuang Information is a leading provider of bulk commodity information services in China, focusing on data monitoring, price assessment, and industry analysis [7] - The company's main revenue sources include information services (57.19%), digital services (20.98%), exhibition services (12.08%), consulting services (9.74%), and others (0.01%) [7] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhaochuang Information achieved operating revenue of 263 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.91%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.93% to 49.52 million [8] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 325 million in dividends [9] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company has launched an AI platform and automation tools to enhance the production of annual and monthly analysis reports, significantly improving analyst efficiency and customer experience [2] - Zhaochuang Information has developed a commodity price prediction system using advanced machine learning models to assist enterprises in making informed decisions [2] Group 4: Market Activity - As of February 11, the company's stock price decreased by 1.03%, with a trading volume of approximately 84.66 million and a market capitalization of 3.695 billion [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 3.45 million from major investors, indicating a lack of strong buying interest [4][5] Group 5: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Zhaochuang Information was 11,800, a decrease of 15.79% from the previous period, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 18.76% to 3,025 shares [8]

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月11日 优于大市 哔哩哔哩-W（09626.HK） 游戏大年及AI 应用推广有望助力公司 26 年广告收入与利润高 增长 公司研究·海外公司快评 传媒·数字媒体 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | 证券分析师： | 张伦可 | 0755-81982651 | zhanglunke@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521120004 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 张衡 | 021-60875160 | zhangheng2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980517060002 | | 证券分析师： | 王颖婕 | 0755-81983057 | wangyingjie1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525020001 | 事项： 2026 年是游戏大年和 AI 应用投放大年，哔哩哔哩有望承接更多游戏及 AI 应用广告主投放预算。 国信互联网观点：哔哩哔哩有望承接更多游戏及 AI 应用广告主投放预算，带动收入与利润增长。需求看， B 站广告聚焦科技与游戏等垂类，我 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Bilibili-W (09626.HK) is "Outperform the Market" [1][4][13] Core Views - 2026 is expected to be a significant year for the gaming industry and AI application advertising, which will likely lead to increased advertising revenue and profits for Bilibili [2][3][5] - Bilibili is anticipated to capture more advertising budgets from gaming and AI application advertisers, driving revenue and profit growth [3][5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Bilibili are estimated at 30.2 billion, 32.6 billion, and 36.5 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][13] - Adjusted net profits are forecasted to be 2.5 billion, 3.4 billion, and 4.6 billion for the same years [4][13] Industry Insights - The gaming industry is expected to see a rapid increase in game approvals, with a nearly 60% year-on-year growth in the number of game approvals in 2025, excluding casual games [3][5] - Bilibili's gaming advertising is projected to achieve over 30% year-on-year growth in 2026 due to increased competition among top game publishers [3][5] - AI application advertising budgets are expected to increase significantly in 2026, with Bilibili's user base overlapping with core AI application audiences [3][5] User Engagement and Advertising Metrics - Bilibili's Daily Active Users (DAU) is expected to maintain a growth rate of over 5% in 2026, with improvements in AI technology enhancing ad load from 6.7% to 7.1% and a projected 5% increase in ECPM [6][7] - The advertising revenue growth for native and brand ads is expected to be in single digits due to macroeconomic influences [7]

Group 1 - The media sector is experiencing a capital influx, with the Media ETF (159805) seeing a net subscription of 66.5 million units [1] - Recent advancements in domestic large models include iFLYTEK's launch of the Spark X2 model, which has upgraded its general capabilities and enhanced support for over 130 languages [1] - Ant Group has released the Ming-Flash-Omni 2.0 model, the first all-scenario audio generation model, capable of generating voice, environmental sounds, and music simultaneously [1] - ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 video model has improved multi-modal capabilities, potentially revolutionizing the film and television industry [1] - Shanxi Securities notes that the continuous iteration of large models is expected to accelerate AI application deployment, expanding the technology's use cases across text, images, audio, and video [1] - According to Grandview Research, the global AI market is projected to exceed $1.8 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of 37.3% [1] - The Global GEO market is expected to surpass $100 billion by 2030, with China's market projected to reach 24 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - As of February 11, 2026, the CSI Media Index (399971) shows mixed performance among constituent stocks, with Kaiying Network leading at a 6.02% increase [2] - The Media ETF (159805) is closely tracking the CSI Media Index, which includes 50 large-cap listed companies from marketing, advertising, cultural entertainment, and digital media sectors [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Media Index account for 53.71% of the index, including BlueFocus, Focus Media, and iQIYI [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant advancements in AI technology, particularly with the launch of ByteDance's Seedance 2.0, which is expected to revolutionize the video production industry by enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [1] - The Seedance 2.0 model allows for the creation of high-quality videos from text or images, supporting 5 to 15 seconds of video content, which could lead to a substantial increase in the market size for AI-generated content [1] - The market for animated dramas, including AI-generated content, is projected to reach approximately 16.8 billion yuan by 2025 and over 24 billion yuan by 2026, with an expected annual growth rate of over 40% [1] Group 2 - The 2026 Spring Festival film market has seen a strong start, with pre-sale box office figures reaching nearly 830 million yuan on the first day, surpassing 1 billion yuan by the second day, indicating a significant increase in audience engagement compared to previous years [2] - AI technology is increasingly penetrating the production processes of games and films, enhancing content creation efficiency and reducing costs, which is expected to benefit the media sector significantly [2] - The media sector is anticipated to experience sustained growth in AI applications, particularly in the context of high-traffic scenarios such as social interactions and local services [2] Group 3 - The China Securities Media Index includes 50 major listed companies across various sectors such as marketing, advertising, and digital media, reflecting the overall performance of the media industry and is expected to benefit from the value re-evaluation driven by AI technology [3] - The index has shown varied performance from 2021 to 2025, with annual returns of -2.10%, -31.14%, 19.57%, 5.35%, and 27.26%, indicating fluctuations in the media sector's performance [3]