门店扩张与并购
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巴比食品:25年营收稳健增长,26年有望再提速-20260204
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-04 10:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth over 25 years, with expectations for acceleration in 2026. Revenue is projected to reach RMB 2,154 million in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.85% [1] - The company is focusing on internal improvements, external acquisitions, and the introduction of a new store model for its dumplings, which are expected to drive growth [8] - Profit margins are in line with expectations, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 13.2% in 2025, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from lower pork costs and improved capacity utilization [8] - The company is expected to scale its new store model in 2026, which has shown promising results in the market, and further acquisitions will enhance its revenue structure and risk resilience [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to be RMB 1,859 million in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 11.22%, and RMB 2,154 million in 2026, with a year-on-year increase of 15.85% [1][9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be RMB 273.06 million in 2025, a decrease of 1.28% year-on-year, and RMB 327.04 million in 2026, an increase of 19.77% [1][9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be RMB 1.14 in 2025 and RMB 1.37 in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27.29 and 22.78 [1][9]