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东方雨虹(002271):2025年三季报点评:Q3单季收入同比转正,转型调整成果有望逐步显现
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-29 09:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][24]. Core Views - The company's Q3 revenue has turned positive year-on-year, and the decline in net profit is narrowing quarter by quarter. For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.6 billion yuan, down 5.1% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 810 million yuan, down 36.6% year-on-year [7][24]. - The company is undergoing a transformation, with results expected to gradually emerge. It is actively revitalizing assets and has completed the acquisition of a leading retail supermarket in Chile, which is anticipated to contribute to performance in the future [24]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: In Q3, the company achieved operating revenue of 7.03 billion yuan, up 8.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 250 million yuan, down 26.6% year-on-year. The net profit margin for Q3 was 3.4%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [7][2]. - **Gross Margin**: The comprehensive gross margin for the first nine months of 2023 was 25.2%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year. The Q3 gross margin was 24.8%, down 4.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][14]. - **Cash Flow**: The company reported a positive operating cash flow of 420 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025, compared to a negative cash flow of 490 million yuan in the same period last year. The Q3 operating cash flow was 810 million yuan [3][19]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 0.45, 0.67, and 0.89 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29.4, 19.6, and 14.7 times [24][25]. - The company is expected to face short-term demand weakness, but the transformation effects are anticipated to gradually manifest, leading to a potential operational turning point [24].
东方雨虹(002271):Q3营收同比增长,归母净利润降幅逐季收窄,经营性现金流大幅改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-10-28 11:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for the company [4][9]. Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue due to downward demand and intense market price competition, with a year-on-year revenue decrease of 5.06% in the first three quarters of 2025. However, Q3 showed a positive revenue growth of 8.51% compared to the same quarter last year, attributed to a low base effect from the previous year [2][4]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 36.61% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a narrowing decline in Q3 to 26.58%. This decline is primarily due to a decrease in gross margin and an increase in impairment losses [2][4]. - The company has effectively controlled its expense ratio, resulting in a significant improvement in operating cash flow, which increased by 184.56% year-on-year to 416 million yuan [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 20.601 billion yuan, with quarterly revenues showing a trend of -16.71% in Q1, -5.64% in Q2, and +8.51% in Q3 [2][4]. - The gross margin for the period was 25.19%, a decrease of 3.94 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to intense market competition [3]. Profitability - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 810 million yuan, with a quarterly decline of -44.68% in Q1, -37.52% in Q2, and -26.58% in Q3, indicating a narrowing decline trend [2][4]. - The company reported a net profit margin of 3.82%, down 1.99 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Cash Flow and Expenses - The operating cash flow for the period was a net inflow of 416 million yuan, significantly improved due to enhanced collection efforts and reduced cash payments for goods and services [3]. - The company maintained a total expense ratio of 16.61%, down 1.95 percentage points year-on-year, with reductions in sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 25.436 billion yuan, 26.554 billion yuan, and 27.833 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The net profit is forecasted to rebound significantly in 2025, reaching 1.227 billion yuan, with substantial growth rates in subsequent years [4].