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IP衍生品行业研究之集换式卡牌:轻量化IP载体撬动百亿市场,全链条布局构筑壁垒
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-09-22 05:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating, highlighting the potential of lightweight IP carriers to tap into a billion-dollar market through a comprehensive industry layout [2]. Core Insights - The collectible card game (CCG) industry is experiencing explosive growth in China, with the market size projected to reach 26.3 billion RMB in 2024, up from 2.8 billion RMB in 2019, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56.6% [5][17]. - The report identifies the U.S. and Japan as mature markets, while China's market is characterized by a younger consumer base, high-frequency low-cost purchases, and social media-driven engagement [5][47]. - The collectible card industry is segmented into trading card games (TCG) and collectible cards, with TCGs like Pokémon and sports cards leading the market [10][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Collectible Cards: Lightweight IP Carriers Providing Multi-Dimensional Value - Collectible cards offer various values, including aesthetic, social, and investment aspects, making them appealing to consumers [14]. - The market is expected to grow significantly, with China's collectible card market projected to reach 44.6 billion RMB by 2029 [17]. 2. Market Size: Explosive Growth in China's Collectible Card Market - The Chinese collectible card market is forecasted to grow to 26.3 billion RMB in 2024, with a significant increase in consumer spending potential [15][17]. - The average spending per consumer in China is only 18.7 RMB, compared to 119.3 RMB in Japan and 64.0 RMB in the U.S., indicating room for growth [17]. 3. Country Segmentation: Mature Markets in the U.S. and Japan, Developing Market in China - The U.S. market is characterized by a well-established ecosystem for sports cards, driven by a strong sports culture and a history of card trading [18][29]. - Japan's market focuses on TCGs, with a compound annual growth rate of 22% from 2019 to 2024, driven by a robust community and competitive events [29][35]. - China's market is rapidly evolving, with a focus on younger consumers and a growing interest in IP-driven products, supported by a burgeoning entertainment toy market [47].