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科顺股份(300737):收入压力延续 加大布局零售和海外
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 00:37
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.7 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20 million yuan, down 84% year-on-year [1] - The third quarter saw a revenue of 1.5 billion yuan, a decline of 11% year-on-year, and a net profit of -30 million yuan, a decrease of 183% year-on-year [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth has been under pressure, with the last four quarters showing declines of -1%, -6%, -8%, and -11% respectively [2] - The decline in revenue is attributed to weak demand in the construction industry, with new construction area down 19% year-on-year from January to September 2025 [2] Profitability Analysis - Gross margin for the first three quarters was approximately 24.3%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the third quarter gross margin was about 23.6%, up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year but down 1.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company faced increased operating expenses, with a period expense ratio of approximately 18.9% for the first three quarters, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, and 20.8% for the third quarter, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Cash Flow and Receivables - The cash collection ratio improved to 1.04 for the first three quarters of 2025, compared to 0.83, 0.90, and 0.98 in the previous three years [3] - Despite the improvement in cash collection, the net cash flow remained negative at -820 million yuan for the first three quarters [3] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is actively optimizing its business structure, with a significant increase in retail and overseas business contributions [3] - Future revenue structure plans include 30% from retail, 20% from overseas, and 50% from construction and related businesses [3] Strategic Partnerships and Market Outlook - The company has established strategic cooperation with SAC Group and set up two modern production bases in Malaysia [4] - The waterproof materials industry is experiencing a significant supply exit, with production expected to decline by 38% from 2021 to 2024, indicating potential for profit recovery if demand stabilizes [4] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of approximately 50 million yuan in 2025 and 340 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding valuations of 107 and 17 times [5]