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洽洽食品(002557):成本承压拖累业绩,期待触底反弹
HTSC· 2025-08-22 02:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 2.75 billion and net profit at 90 million, reflecting year-on-year changes of -5.0% and -73.7% respectively. The second quarter showed a revenue increase of 9.7% but a significant drop in net profit [1][2]. - The company is actively launching new snack products such as nuts, ice cream, and konjac, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth. The recent launch of a new nut product achieved sales of 100 million within a month [2][3]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 20.3%, down 8.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material costs and increased promotional expenses [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 2.75 billion, with a net profit of 90 million, showing a year-on-year decline of 5.0% and 73.7% respectively. The second quarter saw revenues of 1.18 billion, a 9.7% increase, but net profit fell by 88.2% [1][2]. - The company’s gross margin decreased to 20.3%, with significant drops in the margins for sunflower seeds and nuts, attributed to higher procurement costs [3][4]. Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is focusing on expanding its product line with new snacks, which are expected to drive additional revenue. Recent product launches have shown promising sales figures [2][3]. - The company is also expanding its distribution channels, including high-potential markets, to enhance its product reach [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 1.07, 1.50, and 1.98 RMB respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to a weaker consumption environment and increased competition [4][10]. - The target price for the company is set at 27.36 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18x for 2026 [4][6].