（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 洽洽食品（002557.SZ）11月23日在投资者互动平台表示，公司目前葵花籽原料采购在持续进行中。公 司会根据市场行情以及库存变化等情况对每年春节前后采购的比重进行动态调整。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：请问公司今年葵花籽开始收储了么？目前收储情况如 何，已经完成年度收储任务大概多少了？ ...

Economic News - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that recent negotiations between China and the US resulted in a consensus, including the US's cancellation of the 10% "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods and a one-year suspension of its 301 investigation measures against China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries [1] - Several leading lithium iron phosphate cathode material manufacturers, including Jiangxi Shenghua New Materials Co., Ltd. and Hunan Youneng New Energy Battery Materials Co., Ltd., have announced plans for capacity expansion [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1] - The China Iron and Steel Association reported that key steel enterprises had a total operating income of 4.56 trillion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.36%, while total profits increased by 1.9 times to 96 billion yuan [1] Company Insights - Kefu Medical has launched its first respiratory mask and plans to introduce multiple new masks and next-generation ventilators next year, enhancing its smart respiratory ecosystem [4] - Zhenyu Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement to invest 2.11 billion yuan in precision component manufacturing and humanoid robot modules in Ninghai County from 2025 to 2030 [4] - Huayu Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the market launch of injectable paclitaxel (albumin-bound) in Portugal and the UK [4] - Qiaoyin Co., Ltd. won a bid for a sanitation integration project in Lai County, with a contract value of approximately 204.98 million yuan per year for 25 years [4] - Pro Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for L-carnitine injection, with a projected market size of 1.03 million units and sales of 9.65 billion yuan in 2024 [4] Daily Research Report - Qiaqia Food (002557.SZ) reported a total revenue of 4.501 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%, with net profit down 73.17% to 168 million yuan [5] - The sunflower seed segment, traditionally a revenue driver, faced challenges due to poor quality and increased competition, leading to significant revenue declines [6] - The nut segment showed resilience, maintaining a revenue share of around 20%, supported by seasonal sales during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day [6] - New product launches, including high-end sunflower seeds and low-calorie konjac products, are in the early promotion stage and are expected to contribute to future growth [7] - The company is experiencing increased pressure on raw material costs, with a sales gross margin of 21.94% and a net profit margin of 3.76%, both showing a significant decline year-on-year [7] Investment Forecast and Ratings - Due to ongoing cost pressures and competitive challenges, the profit forecast for Qiaqia Food has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 459 million, 732 million, and 824 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 45.94% in 2025 [8] - Ningbo Bank (002142.SZ) reported a revenue of 54.98 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.45 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, both showing an 8.3% year-on-year increase [10] - The bank's net interest income grew by 11.8% year-on-year, benefiting from a narrowing decline in net interest margins and strong growth in loan and bond investments [11] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 375.9%, indicating effective risk management [13] - The bank is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory in revenue and profit, with projected net profit growth rates of 8.6%, 9.5%, and 10.0% for 2025-2027 [12]

Core Viewpoint - Poland's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development announced that it will maintain a ban on certain Ukrainian agricultural imports despite the EU's new trade agreement with Ukraine, which applies to all EU member states [1] Group 1: Trade Regulations - The new EU-Ukraine trade agreement, effective from October 29, allows for the import of goods across the EU, but some terms remain unchanged [1] - Poland's import ban on Ukrainian wheat, corn, rapeseed, sunflower seeds, and certain processed products will remain in effect indefinitely [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability is under pressure due to high raw material costs, but there is a trend of marginal improvement [6] - The company has shown a notable performance in new sales channels, particularly in membership and bulk stores, contributing to revenue growth despite overall revenue decline [6] - The company is a leading player in the leisure snack industry in China, with significant market share in the seed industry and growth potential in the nut segment [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 45.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.68 billion yuan, down 73.17% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 17.49 billion yuan, a decline of 5.91% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.79 billion yuan, down 72.58% year-on-year [4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 24.52%, a decrease of 8.59 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high prices of sunflower seeds and nuts [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 68.50 billion yuan, 73.43 billion yuan, and 77.75 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -4%, +7%, and +6% respectively [6] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 3.20 billion yuan, 6.98 billion yuan, and 8.17 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -62%, +118%, and +17% respectively [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are 0.63 yuan, 1.38 yuan, and 1.61 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Outperform" for the company, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the return of its relevant broad market benchmark [20]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight year-on-year decline in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, with total operating revenue of RMB 4.50 billion, down 5.4% year-on-year, and a significant drop in net profit attributable to owners, which fell by 73.2% to RMB 170 million [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for the first nine months was 21.9%, contracting by 8.3 percentage points year-on-year, but the gross margin for 3Q25 showed a sequential improvement to 24.5% [2][9]. - The company has set a clear revenue growth target of 10%-15% for the new fiscal year, with specific growth targets for sunflower seeds and nuts [4][11]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of RMB 4.50 billion, a decrease of 5.4% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to owners of RMB 170 million, down 73.2% year-on-year [2][8]. - The gross profit margin for the first nine months was 21.9%, down 8.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for 3Q25 was 24.5%, showing a sequential increase [2][9]. - The effective tax rate for the first nine months was 26.6%, up from 21.2% in the prior year period [2][8]. Revenue Structure and Product Performance - In 3Q25, the revenue from the sunflower seed business declined due to proactive control of sales, while the nut business grew by approximately 10%-20%, benefiting from strong performance during the Mid-Autumn Festival [3][9]. - The management indicated that the gross margin for nuts decreased by over 10 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising prices of key raw materials [3][9]. Raw Material Costs and Future Outlook - Procurement prices for sunflower seeds have decreased compared to the same period in 2024, which is expected to benefit gross margins in 4Q25 and FY2026 [4][10]. - The company plans to enhance long-term control over core raw materials by expanding contract farming [10]. New Fiscal Year Plan - The company aims for sales revenue growth of 10%-15% for the period from July 2025 to June 2026, with specific targets for sunflower seeds and nuts [4][11]. - New product initiatives include a focus on konjac, with a target scale of RMB 50-100 million [4][11]. Channel Development - The traditional Key Account (KA) channel's contribution to sales has decreased from 40% to 35%, while the Snack Discount channel has seen rapid growth [5][12]. - Membership stores have performed well, with significant sales growth in the Hema channel [5][12].

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Qiaqia Food has significantly declined, with a notable drop in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year, indicating ongoing challenges in the business [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Qiaqia achieved revenue of 4.501 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.38% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 168 million yuan, down 73.17% compared to the same period last year [2]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.749 billion yuan, a decline of 5.91%, with net profit at 79.36 million yuan, a drop of 72.58% [2]. Business Challenges - The core sunflower seed business has shown weak growth, with revenue for this segment only increasing by 2.6% in 2024, while facing a 4.45% decline in H1 2025 due to rising raw material costs [3]. - The surge in raw material prices, particularly due to adverse weather conditions and global commodity price increases, has severely impacted profit margins, leading to a drop in gross margin from 31.88% in 2022 to 19.93% in H1 2025 [3][4]. Strategic Responses - Qiaqia is attempting to manage high raw material costs by reducing inventory, with a 58.42% decrease in inventory from the beginning of the year [4]. - The company is also exploring new business avenues, including expanding its product line to include konjac products and enhancing its marketing strategies to attract younger consumers [5][6]. Investment Initiatives - Qiaqia announced a joint investment with Huatai Group to establish a new investment company focused on the snack food industry, aiming to improve financial returns and share risks [6]. - Despite these efforts, the company faces skepticism regarding whether these financial maneuvers can address the fundamental issues affecting its core product lines [6]. Market Position - Qiaqia still holds over 50% market share in China's 35 billion yuan sunflower seed market, indicating a strong competitive position despite recent performance challenges [7]. - The company's long-term goal of achieving 10 billion yuan in revenue appears increasingly difficult, with significant revenue targets remaining unmet [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.75 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.9%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 79 million yuan, down 73% year-on-year [1][3] - The company is facing pressure on costs due to rising raw material prices, particularly for sunflower seeds and nuts, which has impacted profitability [3] - The company is actively exploring new sales channels such as snack wholesale and membership stores to adapt to changing market conditions [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 6.806 billion, 7.131 billion, 6.701 billion, 6.829 billion, and 6.996 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year growth rate of -1.1%, 4.8%, -6.0%, 1.9%, and 2.4% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 803 million, 849 million, 378 million, 665 million, and 780 million yuan for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of -17.8%, 5.8%, -55.6%, 76.1%, and 17.4% [2] - The gross margin is expected to be 26.8%, 28.8%, 23.8%, 27.2%, and 27.6% for the years 2023A to 2027E [2] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.5%, 14.8%, 6.4%, 10.7%, and 11.8% for the same period [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at 1.58, 1.68, 0.75, 1.31, and 1.54 yuan for 2023A to 2027E [2] Future Outlook - The company is expected to face revenue pressure in Q4 2025 due to the late timing of the Spring Festival in 2026, but there is potential for recovery in profitability as raw material prices for sunflower seeds are projected to decline [3] - The company anticipates that the gross margin for sunflower seeds may improve in Q4 and the following year, while nut margins may remain under pressure [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.701 billion, 6.829 billion, and 6.996 billion yuan, with net profits of 378 million, 666 million, and 780 million yuan respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - Qiaqia Food, known as the "King of Sunflower Seeds," is experiencing a rare performance downturn since its listing in 2011, with significant declines in revenue and profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.501 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 168 million yuan, down 73.17% year-on-year [2]. - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses fell by 79.46%, indicating a near "loss of speed" in its core business profitability [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 21.94%, a decrease of 8.31 percentage points compared to 30.25% in the same period of 2024 [3]. - The net profit margin dropped from 15.53% in 2021 to 3.76% in the third quarter of this year [3]. Cost and Operational Challenges - The significant decline in profitability is attributed to rising costs of sunflower seeds and core nut raw materials, along with increased expenses for product and channel restructuring [3]. - Adverse weather conditions during the sunflower seed harvest period in Inner Mongolia led to increased mold rates and reduced quality raw material supply, further driving up raw material prices [3]. - Despite having over 4 billion yuan in cash, the net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 52.95% due to a substantial increase in cash payments for goods and services [3]. Strategic Investments - Qiaqia Food announced a joint investment with its controlling shareholder, Hefei Huatai Group, to establish a new investment company focused on the snack food industry, with Qiaqia contributing 160 million yuan for a 40% stake [4]. - This investment aims to enhance financial returns while sharing risks and benefits with partners, leveraging quality resources in the industry chain for strategic synergy [4].

Group 1 - The company is currently in the process of procuring sunflower seeds, which typically begins in September or October and continues until before the Spring Festival [1] - The price of sunflower seeds has significantly decreased this year, with the current price being below 5 yuan per unit [1] - The company adjusts the proportion of raw material procurement dynamically based on market conditions and inventory changes, particularly before and after the Spring Festival [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the recovery efforts in Fengjiayu Town, particularly in the cultivation of sunflower seeds after severe flooding during the rainy season [1] Group 1: Disaster Recovery - The local government quickly organized recovery efforts following significant damage to roads, farmland, and homes due to flooding [1] - The community worked together to restore infrastructure and revive local industries [1] Group 2: Agricultural Development - Sunflower crops in the region have thrived despite some damage, with villagers reporting good quality seeds that are thin-skinned, large, and flavorful [1] - The sunflower planting industry has been scaled up, producing 50,000 pounds of seeds annually, generating an annual output value of 250,000 yuan, and benefiting over 40 households [1] Group 3: Future Plans - The local authorities plan to implement a strategy focused on "basic recovery in one year, comprehensive improvement in three years, and long-term high-quality development" to ensure sustainable growth in the agricultural sector [1]