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金沙中国有限公司(1928.HK):GGR恢复低于行业 伦敦人或支撑营收修复
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-26 03:38
Core Viewpoint - LVS's Q2 2025 financial results show a mixed recovery in Macau operations, with GGR at $1.72 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5%, but still lagging behind industry recovery rates [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - LVS reported a Q2 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $566 million, up 1% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 74% of the level seen in Q2 2019 [2] - The adjusted EBITDA margin (EM) for LVS was 31.5%, compared to 36.1% in Q2 2019, indicating a lower recovery rate due to a higher proportion of low-spending tourists [2] - The company has adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down to HKD 57.8 billion, HKD 62.2 billion, and HKD 65.3 billion respectively, alongside adjusted EBITDA forecasts of HKD 19.1 billion, HKD 21.1 billion, and HKD 22.8 billion [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Macau's GGR recovery is primarily driven by a strong influx of visitors, with June 2025 GGR reaching 88% of the level seen in 2019, marking a post-pandemic high [3] - The company is facing increased competition in the market, which has affected its ability to capitalize on the return of high-end customers [1][3] - The introduction of non-gaming activities, such as concerts and events, is aimed at attracting diverse customer segments, including high-net-worth individuals and families [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The renovation of The Londoner is showing positive effects, with an EM of 31.9%, indicating strong appeal to visitors post-renovation [2] - The company plans to enhance customer incentives to improve performance, as management acknowledged a reliance on hotel hardware attractiveness [1] - Upcoming events, including the NBA China Games and various concerts, are expected to further boost visitor numbers and enhance the non-gaming revenue stream [2][3]