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金沙中国(1928.HK):5和6月份的表现在提升中;预计未来EBITDA将能达27亿美元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-26 03:38
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the company's second-quarter performance for 2025 met expectations, with a net income of $1.79 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.3% [1] - The VIP business saw a decline of 13.3% year-on-year and 4.9% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 28% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019 [1] - Retail business revenue and operating profit increased by 7.8% and 4.8% year-on-year, respectively, while luxury goods performance remained weak [1] Group 2 - The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 0.9% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter, reaching $566 million, which is 74% of the level seen in the same period of 2019 [1] - The hotel occupancy rate was 96.2%, with an average price of $226 [1] - The company holds approximately $985 million in cash, with net debt reduced by $90 million to $5.94 billion [1] Group 3 - The performance of various entertainment venues includes revenue figures of $663 million for Venetian Macao, $642 million for Londoner, and $194 million each for Parisian and Four Seasons, with adjusted EBITDA recovery rates ranging from 21% to 124% compared to 2019 [2] - The recent positive industry performance is attributed to increased foot traffic, new project launches, and popular non-gaming products, with high-end mass gaming being a key growth driver [2] - The company has initiated a change in strategy regarding customer promotion expenses, leading to improved performance in May and June [2] Group 4 - The company maintains a buy rating with a target price of HKD 25.31, reflecting confidence in revenue and profit growth due to the second phase of the Londoner and new promotional activities [3] - The company is recognized as the largest integrated resort operator in Macau, holding a leading position in mass gaming and non-gaming sectors [3] - The company has repurchased $179 million worth of shares, increasing its ownership stake to 73.4% [2]
金沙中国有限公司(1928.HK):GGR恢复低于行业 伦敦人或支撑营收修复
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-26 03:38
Core Viewpoint - LVS's Q2 2025 financial results show a mixed recovery in Macau operations, with GGR at $1.72 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5%, but still lagging behind industry recovery rates [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - LVS reported a Q2 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $566 million, up 1% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 74% of the level seen in Q2 2019 [2] - The adjusted EBITDA margin (EM) for LVS was 31.5%, compared to 36.1% in Q2 2019, indicating a lower recovery rate due to a higher proportion of low-spending tourists [2] - The company has adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 down to HKD 57.8 billion, HKD 62.2 billion, and HKD 65.3 billion respectively, alongside adjusted EBITDA forecasts of HKD 19.1 billion, HKD 21.1 billion, and HKD 22.8 billion [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Macau's GGR recovery is primarily driven by a strong influx of visitors, with June 2025 GGR reaching 88% of the level seen in 2019, marking a post-pandemic high [3] - The company is facing increased competition in the market, which has affected its ability to capitalize on the return of high-end customers [1][3] - The introduction of non-gaming activities, such as concerts and events, is aimed at attracting diverse customer segments, including high-net-worth individuals and families [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The renovation of The Londoner is showing positive effects, with an EM of 31.9%, indicating strong appeal to visitors post-renovation [2] - The company plans to enhance customer incentives to improve performance, as management acknowledged a reliance on hotel hardware attractiveness [1] - Upcoming events, including the NBA China Games and various concerts, are expected to further boost visitor numbers and enhance the non-gaming revenue stream [2][3]
中金:维持金沙中国“跑赢行业”评级 升目标价至23.8港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 02:28
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the adjusted EBITDA forecast for Sands China (01928) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price raised by 19% to HKD 23.80, reflecting a 29% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Sands China reported 2Q25 net revenue of USD 1.797 billion, recovering to 84% of 2Q19 levels (up 2% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter) [2] - Adjusted property EBITDA for 2Q25 was USD 566 million, recovering to 74% of 2Q19 levels (up 1% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter), aligning with institutional expectations of USD 562 million [2] - The performance is attributed to more aggressive marketing rebate activities, improved VIP win rates, and increased market share from 22.4% in 1Q25 to 22.6% in 2Q25 due to the opening of Londoner [2] Group 2: Management Insights - Management disclosed a short-term EBITDA target of approximately USD 2.7 billion annually (USD 675 million quarterly), with contributions expected from Venetian and Londoner (USD 2 billion), Four Seasons (USD 400 million), Parisian (USD 200 million), and Sands Macao (USD 100 million) [3] - Management acknowledged previous conservatism in customer rebate reinvestment rates, which negatively impacted performance in Macau, but noted improvements in May and June 2025 following a shift in rebate strategy [3] - The new rebate strategy aims to increase rebate spending to drive traffic to Parisian and Sands Macao, while strong natural traffic is expected to support performance at Venetian and Londoner under limited rebate spending [3] - Management believes Macau has become a regional entertainment hub, hosting numerous global and regional events, which will continue to drive visitor traffic [3] - Continued high visitor numbers are supported by day-trip travelers, with mass market recovery at 93% of 2Q19 levels (up 10% quarter-on-quarter) and premium mass market recovery at 106% of 2Q19 levels (up 5% quarter-on-quarter) [3]