（原标题：戈东瓜纳淡化G20冷落是"暂时的挫折"） 南非《每日商报》网站1月22日报道，南非财政部长戈东瓜纳将南非被排除在二十国集团（G20） 之外一事轻描淡写地称为"暂时的挫折"，并表示他不认为与美国的外交裂痕会在未来G20轮值主席国任 期内继续存在。戈东瓜纳在达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛（WEF）年会期间的新闻发布会上证实，在美 国发出强烈信号，表示今年在其担任主席国期间不欢迎南非之后，南非实际上已经"退出"了其G20的活 动。戈东瓜纳说："我们知道的是，南非将在2026年缺席G20峰会——不是因为美国人能把我们赶出 G20，而是因为他们掌握着一项重要的工具：认证权。如果没有认证，即使你在会场附近，也无法进 入。所以他们不会给我们认证。"戈东瓜纳表示，这"纯粹是2026年的暂时挫折"，他不认为英国在2027 年担任G20主席国时"会采取类似的立场"。"就非洲的声音而言，非盟仍然是成员国，"他告诉记者。 贸易、工业和竞争部长帕克斯·陶阐述了非洲在全球经济中的战略重要性，敦促投资者转变视角， 认识到非洲大陆的长期潜力。陶表示："非洲目前处于有利地位"，并呼吁加强商业合作，建立长期伙伴 关系。他强调南非作为进入更广 ...

2026年，国际经济环境仍然严峻，非洲国家还面临各次区域发展不平衡、债务和通胀居高不下、地缘冲 突、自然灾害等挑战。但是，非洲经济一体化以及资源和市场等内生优势增长动力会进一步释放，中国 大市场的开放也将继续成为非洲发展的大机遇，非洲经济整体上将继续展现稳健前行态势。 （作者为中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所研究员） （文章来源：人民日报） 2025年非洲经济总体表现相当稳健和具有韧性。多家权威机构估算2025年非洲经济增速超过4%，和前 几年一样均高于世界经济增速约3%的平均值。在世界经济整体处于低迷的状态下，非洲仍能取得这样 的增长率，实属不易。 从对外经济结构上讲，非洲经济对世界经济，尤其是大宗国际商品市场需求的依赖比较大。过去，国际 媒体曾用"欧洲打喷嚏，非洲重感冒"来比喻非洲经济对西方市场的依赖性。如今，非洲对外经济合作的 图谱正变得更加丰富，中非合作成果尤其耀眼。在中非合作论坛、共建"一带一路"倡议等框架下，中非 经贸合作力度不断加大，不仅合作规模大、覆盖领域广、兼顾建设与运营，而且注重经济可持续性和本 地化回报，为非洲长期发展提供了稳定和有效支撑。2025年6月，中方宣布愿通过商签共同发展经济伙 伴 ...

Group 1: Economic Outlook - In 2025, Africa's overall economic growth is projected to be around 4.2%, with a slight increase to approximately 4.3% in 2026, indicating a moderate recovery amidst external shocks [1] - The World Bank estimates that Sub-Saharan Africa's economic growth will be about 3.8% in 2025, up from approximately 3.5% in 2024, although it has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels of 4% to 5% [1] - The average inflation rate in Africa is expected to decrease from about 13.7% in 2025 to approximately 10.3% in 2026, although food prices remain a significant pressure on low-income households [1] Group 2: Debt and Fiscal Stability - Public debt in Africa has decreased from 66.3% of GDP in 2023 to 65.5% in 2024, and is expected to remain below 65% from 2025 to 2026, with many countries pursuing debt restructuring and fiscal consolidation [2] - Countries are implementing measures to alleviate short-term debt pressures by extending repayment terms and optimizing debt structures, while enhancing fiscal sustainability in their long-term plans [2] Group 3: Regional Economic Performance - Eastern Africa is expected to maintain a relatively robust economic growth rate of about 5.9% from 2025 to 2026, driven by investment growth and infrastructure development in agriculture and energy [2] - Western Africa is experiencing a mix of reforms and challenges, with energy subsidies and exchange rate reforms temporarily increasing inflation but contributing to improved fiscal sustainability [2] - Southern Africa is recovering more slowly due to power shortages, logistics issues, and structural unemployment, which continue to limit growth potential [2] Group 4: Structural Changes and Sectoral Developments - Significant progress is being made in the energy, digital economy, and agriculture sectors, with renewable energy's share in new power generation capacity increasing [2] - Countries like Kenya and Ethiopia are accelerating the development of geothermal, wind, and solar energy to alleviate power bottlenecks and support industrial and civilian needs [2] - The digital economy is evolving from mobile payment proliferation to deeper institutional and application development, with improvements in e-government, digital taxation, and fintech regulation [2] Group 5: International Economic Cooperation - Africa's external economic cooperation remains stable and diversified, with ongoing trade and investment relations with major economies including Europe, Asia, and the Middle East [3] - China continues to play a significant role in Africa, with cooperation focusing on infrastructure construction, energy development, manufacturing investment, and agricultural trade [3] - The nature of China-Africa cooperation is shifting from primarily engineering construction to a balanced approach that includes operational efficiency, industrial investment, and trade optimization [3] Group 6: Future Economic Challenges and Opportunities - In 2026, Africa's economy will still face uncertainties from global monetary policy, commodity price fluctuations, and geopolitical risks, but internal positive factors are accumulating [4] - Clearer debt management pathways and a concentration of infrastructure project releases are expected to support economic growth, alongside ongoing reforms in energy and digital sectors [4] - Analysts believe that Africa's economy is gradually solidifying its foundation for medium- to long-term development through a combination of growth stabilization, risk prevention, and structural adjustment [4]