风电装机高增&大型化发展

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日月股份:铸件龙头,受益于风电装机高增&大型化发展-20250511
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-11 12:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the casting industry, benefiting from the high growth and large-scale development of wind power installations [4] - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 4.696 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.87%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is 624 million yuan, up 29.55% year-on-year [1][4] - The company is expected to see an increase in shipment volume in 2025 due to the rise in wind power installations, with a projected revenue of 6.333 billion yuan [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.34%, a decrease of 1.33 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 2.83 percentage points to 13.11% [1] - The company reported a gross margin of 15.53% in Q1 2025, down 6.24 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 9.03%, a decrease of 3.25 percentage points [1] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 784 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.7% [5] Market and Product Development - The company is focusing on the development of large-scale wind turbine components, which are expected to enhance efficiency and reduce unit power costs [3] - The company has established a production capacity of 700,000 tons for casting and 420,000 tons for precision machining, allowing for flexible adjustments in production [2] - The company is expanding its market presence in high-end alloy steel and is actively developing large die-casting machines for the new energy vehicle sector [3] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit over the next three years, with projections of 784 million yuan in 2025, 912 million yuan in 2026, and 1.048 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The company is expected to maintain a strong position in the wind power equipment industry, driven by technological advancements and market expansion [3][4]