食用菌工厂化
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国盛证券:金针菇产能理性回归 双孢菇盈利能力持续
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 06:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the edible mushroom industry is experiencing a rational return of capacity due to severe losses from overcapacity, particularly in enoki mushrooms, prompting leading companies to actively reduce production [1][4][6] - In 2023, the total production of edible mushrooms in China reached 43.34 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, with a total output value of 396.56 billion yuan, also up 2.0% year-on-year [2] - The factory production of edible mushrooms saw a significant increase, with a total output of 4.09 million tons in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.23% [2] Group 2 - The enoki mushroom sector is facing severe overcapacity, with leading companies like Xuerong Bio reducing their annual production capacity to 440,000 tons, a decrease of 4% year-on-year, and a capacity utilization rate dropping to 63.82% in Q1 2025, down 9 percentage points from 2024 [1][4] - The profitability of the button mushroom segment remains strong, with its gross margin staying above 30% in most years, despite a slight decline to below 30% from 2019 to 2022 [1][4] - The industry is witnessing a consolidation phase, with smaller companies exiting the market, allowing larger firms like Xuerong Bio and Zhongxing Mushroom to solidify their leading positions [3][4] Group 3 - The cultivation of Cordyceps sinensis is emerging as a new growth area, with companies like Zhongxing Mushroom and Xuerong Bio initiating factory cultivation projects, potentially leading to significant revenue and profit increases [5] - The industry is expected to see a reversal in performance for stable production varieties, while the initial phase of Cordyceps cultivation may open a second growth curve for edible mushroom companies [6]