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金价拐点已现?10月31日惊现变盘信号,黄金市场暗流涌动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 18:35
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are experiencing significant volatility, with recent movements suggesting a potential turning point in the market, reminiscent of past patterns before major price shifts [1][3][5]. Group 1: Price Movements and Technical Analysis - Gold prices have tested the support level at 3915 three times in the past 48 hours, with increased trading volume during these tests, indicating strong market interest [3]. - The current trading range of 3895-3885 is identified as a critical threshold; maintaining this range could lead to upward targets of 3945, 3970, and potentially 4010, while a drop below 3885 would shift support to the 3860-3840 range [3][5]. - Historical data shows that late October to early November is a common period for significant price changes in gold, with notable trends observed in previous years [5]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Influencing Factors - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is a key driver of gold price fluctuations, with recent optimism about a 70% chance of cuts in 2024 being countered by comments from Fed Chair Powell [3][9]. - Despite mixed signals in the market, the recent increase in holdings in gold ETFs, particularly the SPDR ETF, suggests a potential long-term accumulation phase by institutional investors [5]. - Diverging opinions exist in the market, with some analysts believing that the Fed's prolonged high-interest rate stance will suppress gold prices, while others point to strong central bank gold purchases and a return to gold's monetary attributes as factors that could support price increases [9].
黄金横盘第7天,变盘信号暗藏何处?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 09:50
Core Viewpoint - The gold price (XAU/EUR) is currently experiencing a narrow trading range between 2875 (recent low support) and 2906 (clear resistance), indicating a potential upcoming breakout after seven days of limited movement [3]. Group 1: Price Action and Key Levels - Gold price is tightly constrained within the range of 2875 and 2906, with a notable lack of effective breakthroughs [3]. - The 2884-2888 area has emerged as a significant short-term support zone, where the price has rebounded multiple times [3]. - The resistance at 2906 remains strong, with previous attempts to break above this level failing to hold [3]. Group 2: Trading Strategies - A strategy of waiting for the price to reach the 2884-2888 support zone is recommended, looking for bullish reversal patterns before considering a long position [5]. - If the price firmly establishes above the 2906 resistance, it could signal a strengthening short-term trend [5]. - Strict risk management is advised, with a warning to exit positions if the price falls below the 2884 support [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The longer the price remains in this narrow range, the stronger the potential momentum for a breakout [7]. - Market volatility will not cease due to waiting; each breakout or reversal tests traders' ability to interpret signals accurately [9]. - Tools like ebuytech can assist in identifying key market signals by integrating multidimensional data, making it easier to capture hidden signals within price movements [9].