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中国养老困局何解?富达郑任远:制度缺位才是真风险
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-24 03:42
Core Insights - The Chinese pension financial system faces structural challenges due to factors such as rapid population aging, low replacement rates of basic pension insurance, and insufficient long-term investment willingness among residents [2][10] - The core issue is not the lack of investor knowledge but rather the failure of institutional design to align with human behavior, as highlighted by the experience of the U.S. pension system [2][4] - The key to overcoming these challenges lies in implementing a "default mechanism + product adaptation" approach, which includes automatic account opening, automatic investment, and automatic increment principles [2][5] Institutional Design - The U.S. pension system initially operated under the assumption of rational investors, which proved ineffective, leading to a reconsideration of institutional frameworks [3][4] - The introduction of default options in U.S. retirement plans significantly increased participation rates, demonstrating that defaults can enhance investment outcomes without removing choice [4][5] - The SECURE 2.0 Act mandates the use of default mechanisms in all second pillar plans, reinforcing the importance of institutional design in pension finance [5] Product Development - The success of the default mechanism in the U.S. is supported by target date funds (TDF) and target risk funds (TRF), which manage over $4.5 trillion in assets [6][7] - Target date funds, designed to adjust asset allocation based on the investor's retirement date, align well with the default system, promoting a "no-feel" investment experience [6][7] - Fidelity's introduction of a conservative target date fund in China marks a significant step in localizing these concepts, aiming to create a lightweight and seamless investment experience [7][8] Global Perspective - Effective pension investment requires cross-cycle and cross-regional risk management, making global asset allocation essential [9] - Fidelity's global multi-asset framework reflects this necessity, although true global investment research capabilities remain scarce [9][10] - The integration of long-term capital into the economy can stabilize markets and support innovation, as seen in the U.S. with significant pension fund investments in technology sectors [8][10] Conclusion - The essence of pension finance is to design systems that align with human behavior rather than attempting to change it, creating a "stability triangle" through legislative support, professional products, and global risk diversification [10] - The ongoing pilot projects in China aim to gather data to inform future policy, with the potential to transform pension savings into long-term capital for economic and technological advancement [8][10]