2025分析师大会
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第七届金麒麟轻工和纺织服装业最佳分析师第一名长江证券于旭辉最新观点:行业收入表现超预期 上调全年指引
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-12-01 07:51
Core Viewpoint - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing strong revenue growth, with companies adjusting their annual guidance upwards due to better-than-expected performance in Q3 FY2025, driven by brand strength and operational efficiency improvements [1][2][3]. Revenue Performance - FY2025 Q3 revenue reached 790 million CHF, exceeding market expectations of 770 million CHF, with a year-on-year growth of 34.5% at constant exchange rates [1]. - Revenue growth by region: Americas (+21% to 440 million CHF), EMEA (+33% to 210 million CHF), and Asia-Pacific (+109% to 140 million CHF), with Asia-Pacific achieving triple-digit growth for four consecutive quarters [2]. - Revenue growth by channel: Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) (+37.5% to 310 million CHF) and wholesale (+32.5% to 480 million CHF), both maintaining strong growth [2]. - Revenue growth by product category: Footwear (+30% to 730 million CHF), apparel (+100% to 50 million CHF), and accessories (+161% to 10 million CHF), indicating improved market share across channels and regions [2]. Profitability Metrics - Gross margin increased by 5.1 percentage points to 65.7%, benefiting from strong brand growth and operational improvements [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 49.8% to 180 million CHF, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.6% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 290% to 120 million CHF, with a net profit margin increase of 10.2 percentage points to 15.0% [1]. Inventory and Guidance - Inventory at the end of FY2025 Q3 was 380 million CHF, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9%, with healthy inventory levels expected to be maintained [3]. - The company has raised its full-year guidance, projecting at least 34% revenue growth for FY2025, targeting sales of 2.98 billion CHF, up from a previous estimate of 2.91 billion CHF [3]. - Expected gross margin for FY2025 is approximately 62.5%, an increase from the prior guidance of 60.5%-61% [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated to be above 18%, up from the previous guidance of 17%-17.5% [3].