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美股风险偏好有所回升,继续关注5月CPI
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-06-10 09:14
Group 1: Macroeconomic Overview - In May 2025, the U.S. non-farm employment increased by 139,000, exceeding expectations of 126,000, but the previous value was revised down to 147,000, indicating potential overstatement of labor market resilience [1] - The labor force participation rate unexpectedly declined by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.2% [1] - Year-on-year wage growth remained at 3.8%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.2 percentage points to 0.4% [1] - The ISM manufacturing index for May recorded 48.5, below the expected 49.2 and previous 48.7, indicating continued contraction in the manufacturing sector [1] Group 2: Service Sector and Economic Indicators - The ISM non-manufacturing index for May fell to 49.9, below the expected 52 and previous 51.6, marking the first contraction in service sector activity in nearly a year due to weakening demand [2] - The increase in payment prices accelerated as the impact of tariff policies on the economy became more pronounced [2] Group 3: Market Performance - For the week of June 2-6, the S&P Oil & Gas Index rose by 3.10%, the Nasdaq 100 Index increased by 1.97%, and the S&P 500 Index gained 1.50%, with 8 out of 11 sectors showing gains [2][3] - The communication equipment sector led the gains with an increase of 3.19%, while the consumer staples sector saw a decline of 1.57% [3] Group 4: Future Economic Outlook - The CPI for May is expected to gradually rebound from April, with inflation likely to rise due to price disturbances from tariffs and base effects [4] - Ongoing discussions between U.S. and Chinese officials aim to address trade disputes, which may influence market sentiment and economic conditions [2]