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Group 1 - The gap between non-farm payroll employment and ADP employment figures is 180,000, marking the highest level in three years [2]

黄金日内多空博弈加剧！ADP数据疲软，非农数据牵动市场！黄金未来如何演绎？立即观看超V推荐官 Jason的讲解，直播间可领取超V9.9体验包>>> 相关链接 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights an unexpected decrease in ADP private employment numbers for June, with a reduction of 33,000 jobs, significantly below the expected increase of 95,000, marking the first contraction in employment since March 2023 [1][3] - The weak labor market signals that even with tariff adjustments by the Trump administration, there has been no improvement in employment conditions [1] - Following the ADP report, some economists may lower their expectations for the upcoming employment report, and traders have increased bets on at least two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of 2025 [3] Group 2 - The likelihood of a rate cut in July has risen from approximately 20% to 27.4% after the ADP data release [3] - The ADP data, while not a perfect predictor, has shown over 70% consistency with the direction of monthly fluctuations in non-farm payrolls for 2024-2025, indicating potential downside risks for the upcoming non-farm data [3] - If the non-farm employment numbers fall below 150,000, it could strengthen expectations for a rate cut in September, which would be favorable for international gold prices [3] Group 3 - International gold prices have shown a rebound after three consecutive trading days, surpassing the critical level of $3,308 per ounce, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [3] - Key resistance levels for gold are noted at $3,360 per ounce, with a breakthrough potentially moving resistance to $3,446 per ounce, while support remains at $3,308 per ounce [3] - The market strategist suggests that the ADP data reinforces expectations of a cooling job market, but actual non-farm data may exceed expectations, leading to volatile market reactions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield increased by 3.52 basis points, reaching 4.2769%, with fluctuations observed throughout the day [1] Group 1: Treasury Yields - The 10-year Treasury yield rose to a daily high of 4.3063% before gradually retreating [1] - The 2-year Treasury yield increased by 1.23 basis points, settling at 3.7848% [1] - Following the release of the ADP employment data, the 2-year yield sharply dropped from a daily high of 3.7992% to a low of 3.7437% [1]

Welcome back to Power Launch. As Kelly alluded to, Treasury yields are rising as investors digest weaker data for the jobs market and weigh the impact of President Trump's tax and spending package working its way through Congress. And now the next key report will be tomorrow's big granddaddy of them all, the big jobs number. Our Rick Santelli has the bond report with all of those factors at play and the big non-farm payrolls tomorrow.Rick. Yes, Dom. What an interesting day and for a variety of reasons.As yo ...

数据会否同样录得"负数"？ 图示美国"小非农"ADP新增就业人数和"非农"新增就业人数走势图一览："小非农"ADP意外录得-3.3万人，明晚20:30公布的非农 ...

交易学院正在直播 ADP数据公布！黄金突破力度偏软！美盘行情如何解读？交易学院正在直播，点击立即观看>>> 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ADP employment report for June indicates a decrease in employment by 33,000 jobs, significantly below the expected increase of 95,000 jobs and a decline from the previous month's increase of 37,000 jobs [1] Group 1 - The actual employment change for June was -33,000 jobs [1] - The market expectation for job growth was 95,000 jobs [1] - The previous month's employment change was revised to an increase of 37,000 jobs [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. ADP employment report for June indicates a decrease of 33,000 jobs, marking the largest decline since March 2023 [1] Employment Data - The reduction of 33,000 jobs in June is the most significant drop recorded in the ADP employment figures since March 2023 [1]