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AI周报 | DeepSeek开源奥数金牌水平模型;前OpenAI 联创称规模扩展时代已终结
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 00:48
Group 1: DeepSeek's New Model - DeepSeek has open-sourced a new model, DeepSeek-Math-V2, which is the first open-source model to reach IMO gold medal level in mathematics [1] - The performance of Math-V2 surpasses that of Google's Gemini DeepThink in certain aspects, as demonstrated in the IMO-ProofBench benchmark and recent math competitions [1] Group 2: AI Scaling Era Conclusion - Ilya Sutskever, CEO of Safe Superintelligence, claims that the era of AI scaling has ended, indicating a shift back to research paradigms rather than mere expansion [2] - He emphasizes that the current computational power cannot continuously yield better scaling, blurring the line between scaling and waste [2] Group 3: Baidu's AI Department Restructuring - Baidu has established two new AI departments: the Basic Model R&D Department and the Application Model R&D Department, both reporting directly to CEO Li Yanhong [3] - The restructuring reflects Baidu's commitment to enhancing its R&D capabilities in large models, with leadership from internally cultivated talents [3] Group 4: Nvidia's Response to Short Selling - Nvidia responded to Michael Burry's claims about the minimal real demand for AI products, clarifying that its strategic investments represent a small portion of its revenue [4] - Following a significant drop in Nvidia's stock price, the company aims to prove the sustained strength of AI demand [4] Group 5: Google's AI Glasses Project - Google is accelerating its new AI glasses project, with hardware manufacturing by Foxconn and chip supply from Qualcomm, expected to enter small-scale production [6] - The project is independent of the previously announced AR glasses and is led by a key figure from Google Labs [6] Group 6: HSBC's Warning on OpenAI's Profitability - HSBC forecasts that OpenAI will face severe financial pressure over the next decade, predicting it will struggle to achieve profitability even with a projected revenue of $213 billion by 2030 [7] - The analysis highlights the significant cash flow deficit OpenAI may encounter, amounting to $207 billion [7] Group 7: Industrial Fulian's Performance Clarification - Industrial Fulian clarified rumors regarding a downward adjustment of its Q4 performance targets, stating that operations are proceeding as planned [8] - The company's stock experienced fluctuations, reflecting market concerns about its relationship with Nvidia [8] Group 8: Denial of Google Order by Tianfu Communication - Tianfu Communication denied rumors of securing a $3 billion order from Google, amidst speculation about its role as a supplier [9] - The stock prices of related companies fluctuated based on market interest in optical module stocks [9] Group 9: Meta's Interest in Google's TPU - Meta is reportedly considering a multi-billion dollar purchase of Google's TPU for its data center development, which could mark the first external sale of Google's TPU [10] - This potential shift could impact Nvidia, as Meta is currently its largest GPU customer [10] Group 10: AI's Water Consumption - A Morgan Stanley report highlights that AI not only consumes significant electricity but also requires substantial water resources for data center operations [11] - The report points out the challenges of water resource allocation for AI data centers, particularly in regions facing water supply issues [12]
DeepSeek-R1与Grok-3:AI规模扩展的两条技术路线启示
Counterpoint Research· 2025-04-09 13:01
自今年二月起,DeepSeek 便因其开源旗舰级推理模型DeepSeek-R1 而引发全球瞩目——该模型性能 堪比全球前沿推理模型。其独特价值不仅体现在卓越的性能表现,更在于仅使用约2000块NVIDIA H800 GPU 就完成了训练(H800 是H100 的缩减版出口合规替代方案),这一成就堪称效率优化的 典范。 几天后,Elon Musk 旗下xAI 发布了迄今最先进的Grok-3 模型,其性能表现略优于DeepSeek-R1、 OpenAI 的GPT-o1 以及谷歌的Gemini 2。与DeepSeek-R1 不同,Grok-3 属于闭源模型,其训练动用 了惊人的约20万块H100 GPU,依托xAI "巨像"超级计算机完成,标志着计算规模实现了巨大飞跃。 xAI "巨像" 数据中心 Grok-3 展现了无妥协的规模扩张——约200,000块NVIDIA H100 显卡追求前沿性能提升。而 DeepSeek-R1 仅用少量计算资源就实现了相近的性能,这表明创新的架构设计和数据策展能够 与蛮力计算相抗衡。 效率正成为一种趋势性策略,而非限制条件。DeepSeek 的成功重新定义了AI扩展方式的讨 论。我 ...