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节前市场成交缩量
Tebon Securities· 2026-02-10 11:39
Market Analysis - The A-share market experienced a slight increase with a trading volume of 2.12 trillion, down approximately 6.4% from the previous trading day, indicating a cautious sentiment ahead of the holiday [6][7] - The media sector surged by 3.97%, driven by expectations of enhanced efficiency in AI-generated short dramas and strong pre-sale box office figures exceeding 86 million yuan for the Spring Festival [5][6] - The cyclical and defensive consumer sectors saw declines, with real estate, food and beverage, and snack trading down by 1.34%, 1.30%, and 0.94% respectively, likely due to profit-taking after previous consumption policy expectations [5][6] Bond Market - The government bond futures market showed mixed performance, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.01% to 112.68 yuan, while the 10-year contract also increased by 0.01% to 108.485 yuan [10] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 205.9 billion yuan, maintaining a stable liquidity expectation ahead of the holiday [10] Commodity Market - The commodity index slightly increased by 0.09%, with industrial metals and chemicals leading the gains, while shipping and black metals faced adjustments [10][12] - Crude oil prices rose by 2.17% to 476.10 yuan per barrel, supported by geopolitical risks and supply constraints, with Russia's oil production declining [10][12] Trading Hotspots - Key sectors attracting attention include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, and consumer goods, with a focus on technological advancements and policy support [13][15] - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy in technology and consumer sectors, with an emphasis on low-cost entry points [16]