在经历了春节长假的休整之后，2月24日A股市场量价齐升，资金入场意愿较为强烈。 与此同时，结构性分化的暗流也在涌动。油气、有色、化工等资源品板块全线走强，影视院线、AI应 用等题材则显著回调。这种"冰火两重天"的格局，使得A股在马年的平稳开局中暗藏分歧。多家一线私 募机构在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示，马年A股首日走势验证了节前的乐观预期，但市场主线也在 逐步切换，投资者需要在"科技"与"资源"的双线逻辑中重新校准攻守节奏。 双轮驱动特征明显 "A股马年首个交易日整体呈现出全线高开、放量走强的行情，上证指数等主要指数同步走高，市场交 投活跃度显著提升。"畅力资产董事长宝晓辉表示，结合春节假期外围市场整体偏暖、资金回流预期较 强的大背景，A股的表现基本符合市场的普遍预期。 奶酪基金投资经理李铭洛则观察到盘面的双轮驱动特征，24日盘面呈现清晰的"资源品+科技成长"双轮 驱动格局——油气能源、贵金属等资源板块与AI算力、半导体、机器人等硬科技赛道领涨，前期涨幅 较大的影视、短剧游戏等题材则有所回调。"这一表现基本兑现了节前市场对'红包行情'的预期，主要 驱动力来自假期期间海外科技股上涨、地缘风险推升避险资产价格以及 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2026 年 02 月 24 日 策略点评 证券分析师 程强 资格编号：S0120524010005 邮箱：chengqiang＠tebon.com.cn 翟堃 资格编号：s0120523050002 邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号：S0120523070003 邮箱：gaojq＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 1）股票市场：马年开门红，超 4000 家上涨 放量上涨，上证重回 4100。今日 A 股市场迎来马年"开门红"，三大指数集体上 涨，其中上证指数上涨 0.87%，收于 4117.41 点，重回 4100 点上方；深证成指上 涨 1.36%，收于 14291.57 点；创业板指上涨 0.99%，收于 3308.26 点。全市场上 涨个股 4003 家、下跌个股 1388 家，成交额 2.22 万亿，较上一交易日放量 11%。 市场赚钱效应集中于顺周期板块，科技成长内部呈现"硬件强、应用弱"特征。 图 1：市场放量上涨 资料来源：Wind，德邦研究所 顺周期领涨，消费与 AI 应用回调。今日市场板块呈现显著分化，顺周期相关领涨 行业板块， ...

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a significant reduction in trading volume, with a decrease of nearly 100 billion in half-day trading, indicating a state of observation among investors [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown a slight increase of 0.22%, but underlying issues are evident as trading activity diminishes [1] Sector Performance - The media and short drama gaming sectors, which were performing well previously, have seen a sharp decline, highlighting the volatility and risk associated with chasing high-performing stocks in the current market environment [3] - Conversely, sectors related to price increases, such as non-ferrous metals, rare earths, and chemical fibers, are attracting investment due to their potential for profit growth amid a vague overall market direction [3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain composure and avoid chasing high prices in sectors that have already surged, as the current low-volume market does not support sustained price increases [4] - It is crucial to monitor market sentiment, particularly in sectors that have recently underperformed, to assess whether they will continue to drag down overall market sentiment [4] - The current market conditions present an opportunity to optimize holdings, particularly for quality stocks with long-term potential that may have been unfairly impacted by market rotations [4]

Market Overview - On November 11, A-shares opened lower and experienced fluctuating performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up by 0.09% [1][5] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.08% [1][5] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4131.98, up by 3.61 points (+0.09%) [6] - Shenzhen Component Index: 14160.93, down by 49.69 points (-0.35%) [6] - ChiNext Index: 3284.74, down by 35.80 points (-1.08%) [6] - Total market turnover reached 2 trillion, a decrease of 123.7 billion [6] Sector Performance - Coal sector showed activity in the afternoon, while oil and gas stocks experienced fluctuations [3][7] - Precious metals sector rebounded during the day, with glass fiber, chemicals, rare earths, and lithium battery sectors leading in gains [3][7] - Media and film sectors collectively declined, with short drama games, tourism, solar energy, and CPO concept stocks leading the losses [3][7]

Group 1 - The A-share PCB concept sector experienced a strong rally in the morning session, with International Composite Materials (301526) hitting the daily limit up of 20% [1] - Other companies such as Jin'an Guoji, Honghe Technology, Zhongcai Technology, China Jushi, and Shandong Fiberglass also reached the daily limit up, indicating a broad positive sentiment in the sector [1] - Stocks like Changhai Co. and Lite Optoelectronics saw significant gains, contributing to the overall upward trend in the PCB sector [1] Group 2 - The short drama game and film theater sectors faced a decline at the beginning of the trading session, with Hengdian Film and Jin Yi Film hitting the lower limit [5] - Following the initial drop, the lower limit was lifted, but companies like Xingfu Lanhai saw a decline of over 5%, while Baida Qiancheng and Huace Film experienced notable losses [5] - The overall performance of the short drama game and film theater sectors indicates a challenging market environment [5]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 10 日 [Table_Title] 资产配置日报：双牛后的冷静期 2 月 10 日，昨日双牛行情过后，今日股债双双进入冷静期。权益重要股指涨跌互现，但幅度普遍不大，债市 收益率则缺乏继续下行的动力，10 年国债收益率在 1.80%附近窄幅震荡。 权益市场缩量震荡。万得全 A上涨 0.06%，全天成交额 2.12 万亿元，较昨日（2 月 9 日）缩量 1454 亿元。 港股方面，恒生指数上涨 0.58%，恒生科技上涨 0.62%。南向资金净流入 0.85 亿港元，其中美团和中国海洋石油 分别净流入 5.46 亿港元和 4.20 亿港元，腾讯控股则净流出 14.02 亿港元。 市场有主线，但并不活跃。影视院线、短剧游戏全天表现出色，对应 Wind 指数分别上涨 9.59%和 6.16%。 原因来看，一是 Seedance 2.0 发布后，AI应用积极情绪持续发酵；二是临近春节，部分资金试图博弈春节档表现 （去年现象级作品曾推动部分影视品种大涨）。影视 ETF（516620.SH）成交额由 0.91 亿元大幅放量至 8.02 亿 元，指 ...

Market Analysis - The A-share market experienced a slight increase with a trading volume of 2.12 trillion, down approximately 6.4% from the previous trading day, indicating a cautious sentiment ahead of the holiday [6][7] - The media sector surged by 3.97%, driven by expectations of enhanced efficiency in AI-generated short dramas and strong pre-sale box office figures exceeding 86 million yuan for the Spring Festival [5][6] - The cyclical and defensive consumer sectors saw declines, with real estate, food and beverage, and snack trading down by 1.34%, 1.30%, and 0.94% respectively, likely due to profit-taking after previous consumption policy expectations [5][6] Bond Market - The government bond futures market showed mixed performance, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.01% to 112.68 yuan, while the 10-year contract also increased by 0.01% to 108.485 yuan [10] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 205.9 billion yuan, maintaining a stable liquidity expectation ahead of the holiday [10] Commodity Market - The commodity index slightly increased by 0.09%, with industrial metals and chemicals leading the gains, while shipping and black metals faced adjustments [10][12] - Crude oil prices rose by 2.17% to 476.10 yuan per barrel, supported by geopolitical risks and supply constraints, with Russia's oil production declining [10][12] Trading Hotspots - Key sectors attracting attention include AI applications, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, quantum technology, brain-machine interfaces, and consumer goods, with a focus on technological advancements and policy support [13][15] - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy in technology and consumer sectors, with an emphasis on low-cost entry points [16]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index steadily rising, supported by the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, indicating a healthy upward trend [4] - A total of 2,192 stocks rose, reflecting a structural differentiation in the market, with significant profit effects in high-growth sectors such as film and television, media, and short drama games [5] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The total trading volume in the market decreased by 6.40% to around 1 trillion, indicating a decline in market activity, with funds concentrating on high-growth sectors like AI applications and cultural media [5] - Institutional investors displayed a rational and steady approach, focusing on structural optimization in high-growth sectors, while retail investors showed a mature trading behavior, avoiding excessive speculation [7] Investor Sentiment - Retail investor sentiment indicated a cautious approach, with 75.85% of investors maintaining their positions, while 24.57% increased their holdings and 19.14% reduced their positions [8][10] - The overall market sentiment remained stable, with a significant majority (65.07%) expecting the market to rise in the next trading day [10]

Core Viewpoint - The resurgence of the IDC sector is driven by the increasing demand for computing power due to the rapid growth of AI models and their applications, particularly highlighted by the recent launch of ByteDance's AI video generation model, Seedance 2.0 [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On February 10, A-share computing power concept stocks surged, with notable gains including a two-day consecutive rise for Dazhi Technology and a limit-up for TeFa Information [1][2]. - The cultural media sector also experienced a significant uptick, with multiple stocks reaching their daily limit, including Light Media and Huace Film [1][2]. - The explosive market reaction is attributed to the recent emergence of popular AI applications, which are expected to benefit the IDC sector [1][2]. Group 2: AI Model Impact - The IDC boom is linked to the massive consumption of tokens driven by large AI models, with ByteDance's daily token consumption reaching 50 trillion, significantly increasing the demand for computing power [1][2]. - Seedance 2.0 can generate high-quality videos from text or images in just 60 seconds, showcasing the capabilities of advanced AI models [2][6]. Group 3: Future Expectations - The market anticipates the upcoming release of new open-source large models, such as Qwen 3.5, which could further stimulate the sector [3][8]. - The commercial urgency of large models is expected to accelerate, with projections indicating substantial revenue growth for companies like OpenAI, which is expected to generate $4.3 billion in revenue by mid-2025 [4][9]. Group 4: Industry Trends - The IDC sector is expected to maintain high growth due to the increasing commercialization of AI models, with significant investments planned for data center construction [4][10]. - The ongoing development of domestic AI chips and models is likely to enhance the computing power of cloud service providers, creating a closed-loop commercial ecosystem [5][10].

2026.02. 10 本文字数：867，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 一财 阿驴 10:02 A股超2700只个股下跌。 09:47 恒生科技指数涨幅扩大至1.3%。成分股中，快手涨超4%，比亚迪股份涨逾2%。 09:46 半导体板块走高，芯原股份涨逾8%，海光信息涨7.68%，寒武纪涨5.54%，云天励飞涨 4.73%，安孚科技、摩尔线程、澜起科技涨超2%。 09:34 三大股指悉数翻红，深证成指拉升翻红，此前一度跌超0.14%，上证指数涨0.01%，创业板指 涨0.2%，科创综指涨0.67%。 09:33 今日有3只新股上市 N电科开盘涨逾750% 新股N电科上市首日开盘涨750.05%，N爱得开盘涨225.95%，N林平开盘涨66.61%。 09:26 A股开盘｜沪指涨0.11% 短剧游戏板块涨幅居前 三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指涨0.11%，深成指跌0.05%，创业板指跌0.33%，科创综指涨0.27%。 短剧游戏、影视院线、游戏、油气板块活跃，光伏、零售板块走弱。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 ...