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Crude Traders Split on Whether the Glut Has Arrived
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-05 21:00
Predictions of an oil glut have dominated oil market reporting for months. Bloomberg this week suggested the first signs of oversupply may be emerging already, with several million barrels of Middle Eastern oil left unsold in the latest spot market cycle. Yet some analysts disagree that there is a danger of a glut—winter is coming and so is stocking up for heating season. Somewhere between 6 million barrels and 12 million barrels of crude produced in the Middle East did not find buyers in the last spot ...
油脂油料板块大面积飘绿 菜籽粕主力涨逾1%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-30 04:26
Core Viewpoint - The domestic oilseed market shows mixed performance, with canola meal futures rising while other oil futures decline as of June 30, indicating volatility in the sector [1]. Price Movements - Canola meal futures increased by 1.14% to 2572.00 CNY/ton - Canola oil futures decreased by 0.43% to 9421.00 CNY/ton - Palm oil futures fell by 0.69% to 8308.00 CNY/ton - Soybean oil futures dropped by 0.32% to 7976.00 CNY/ton [1][2]. Futures Market Data - Soybean oil opened at 7994.00 CNY, closing at 8002.00 CNY - Palm oil opened at 8366.00 CNY, closing at 8366.00 CNY - Canola oil opened and closed at 9466.00 CNY - Soybean meal opened at 2942.00 CNY, closing at 2938.00 CNY - Canola meal opened at 2558.00 CNY, closing at 2543.00 CNY [2]. Warehouse Receipt Data - Soybean oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 18882 lots - Palm oil warehouse receipts increased by 470 lots to 470 lots - Canola oil warehouse receipts remained stable at 300 lots - Soybean meal warehouse receipts rose by 9610 lots to 35561 lots - Canola meal warehouse receipts decreased by 1141 lots to 21544 lots [3]. Basis and Spot Prices - Canola meal spot price is 2475 CNY, with a futures price of 2509 CNY, resulting in a basis of -68 CNY and a basis rate of -2.75% - Palm oil spot price is 8586 CNY, with a futures price of 8366 CNY, resulting in a basis of 220 CNY and a basis rate of 2.56% - Soybean one spot price is 4295 CNY, with a futures price of 4144 CNY, resulting in a basis of 151 CNY and a basis rate of 3.52% - Soybean meal spot price is 2906 CNY, with a futures price of 2938 CNY, resulting in a basis of -32 CNY and a basis rate of -1.10% - Soybean oil spot price is 8254 CNY, with a futures price of 8002 CNY, resulting in a basis of 252 CNY and a basis rate of 3.05% [4].
原油系板块全线飘红 原油主力涨近2%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-10 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures market for crude oil and related products showed a significant upward trend on June 10, with the main crude oil futures rising nearly 2% [1] Group 1: Price Movements - As of June 10, the main crude oil futures increased by 1.69%, reaching 481.80 yuan per barrel [1] - Fuel oil futures rose by 1.33%, priced at 2980.00 yuan per ton [1] - Low-sulfur fuel oil futures saw a 1.02% increase, now at 3573.00 yuan per ton [1] - Liquefied petroleum gas futures increased by 0.58%, priced at 4129.00 yuan per ton [1] Group 2: Futures Price Data - The opening price for SC crude oil was 478.20 yuan, with a previous close of 474.30 yuan and a last settlement price of 473.80 yuan [2] - Fuel oil opened at 2955.00 yuan, with a previous close of 2927.00 yuan and a last settlement price of 2941.00 yuan [2] - Asphalt futures opened at 3500.00 yuan, with a previous close of 3488.00 yuan and a last settlement price of 3511.00 yuan [2] - Liquefied petroleum gas opened at 4128.00 yuan, with a previous close of 4116.00 yuan and a last settlement price of 4105.00 yuan [2] - Low-sulfur fuel oil opened at 3537.00 yuan, with a previous close of 3514.00 yuan and a last settlement price of 3537.00 yuan [2] Group 3: Warehouse Data - As of June 9, the warehouse receipts for medium-sulfur crude oil futures stood at 4,029,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day [3] - Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts were at 28,950 tons, also unchanged [3] - Asphalt futures warehouse receipts were at 36,350 tons, remaining stable [3] - Liquefied petroleum gas futures warehouse receipts totaled 9,340 hands, unchanged [3] - Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse receipts were at 1,000 tons, consistent with the previous day [3] Group 4: Basis Data - The basis data indicates a phenomenon of 'backwardation' for fuel oil, asphalt, liquefied petroleum gas, and low-sulfur fuel oil, where spot prices exceed futures prices [3] - For fuel oil, the spot price was 5,275 yuan, with a futures price of 2,509 yuan, resulting in a basis of 2,394 yuan and a basis rate of 45.38% [3] - For asphalt, the spot price was 3,630 yuan, with a futures price of 2,509 yuan, leading to a basis of 119 yuan and a basis rate of 3.28% [3] - For liquefied petroleum gas, the spot price was 4,782.5 yuan, with a futures price of 2,507 yuan, resulting in a basis of 677 yuan and a basis rate of 14.16% [3] - For low-sulfur fuel oil, the spot price was 3,597 yuan, with a futures price of 2,508 yuan, leading to a basis of 83 yuan and a basis rate of 2.31% [3]
原油系板块“万红丛中一点绿” 燃料油主力涨幅近2%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-21 04:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the domestic futures market for oil-related products shows mixed performance, with fuel oil leading the gains at nearly 2% increase [1] - As of May 21, the main fuel oil futures rose by 1.91% to 3093.00 CNY/ton, while crude oil futures increased by 1.57% to 471.90 CNY/barrel [1] - Other products such as asphalt and liquefied petroleum gas showed minor changes, with asphalt up by 0.63% to 3539.00 CNY/ton and liquefied petroleum gas down by 0.05% to 4242.00 CNY/ton [1] Group 2 - On May 21, the opening and closing prices for various oil futures contracts were reported, with SC crude oil opening at 464.60 CNY and closing at 464.60 CNY, while fuel oil opened at 3035.00 CNY and closed at 3035.00 CNY [2] - The inventory data as of May 20 indicates that the medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts remained stable at 4,029,000 barrels, while fuel oil futures warehouse receipts also held steady at 28,950 tons [3] - The report highlights a phenomenon of "backwardation" in the market, where spot prices exceed futures prices for fuel oil, asphalt, and liquefied petroleum gas, indicating potential market dynamics [3]
A-Mark Precious Metals(AMRK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 15% to $3,000,000,000 from $2,600,000,000 in the same year-ago quarter, with an 18% increase when excluding forward sales [7][8] - Gross profit for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 18% to $41,000,000, representing 1.36% of revenue, compared to $34,800,000 or 1.33% of revenue in Q3 of last year [8][9] - Net loss attributable to the company for Q3 2025 totaled $8,500,000 or $0.36 loss per diluted share, compared to net income of $5,000,000 or $0.21 per diluted share in Q3 of last year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The DTC segment contributed 19% of consolidated revenue in Q3 2025, while JMB's revenue represented 10% compared to 12% in the prior year [7][8] - Gross profit from the DTC segment represented 61% of consolidated gross profit in Q3 2025, up from 52% in Q3 2024 [9][10] - SG&A expenses for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 46% to $33,400,000, primarily due to increased consulting and professional fees [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gold sales in Q3 2025 were 432,000 ounces, down 3% from the previous year, while silver sales were 15,700,000 ounces, down 39% [17] - The number of new customers in the DTC segment increased 1489% in Q3 2025, with a total of approximately 4,100,000 customers at the end of the quarter, a 64% increase from the prior year [18][19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company executed three strategic acquisitions during the quarter, enhancing its competitive position and expanding into higher-margin luxury segments [4][5] - The company is optimistic about long-term growth opportunities in Asian markets and aims to scale the LPM brand alongside other portfolio assets [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market conditions showed modest improvement, and they remain confident in the company's long-term growth trajectory [5] - The CEO highlighted that the company is focused on integrating recent acquisitions and driving efficiencies throughout the business [20] Other Important Information - The company amended its credit facility, now having a revolving commitment of $467,000,000, and maintained its regular quarterly cash dividend program [16] - The company reported a tangible net worth of $315,700,000 at the end of the quarter, up from $306,000,000 at the end of the prior fiscal year [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Market activity post-April - Management observed increased activity post-April 2, with a solid month for the company despite some recent slowdown [22][23] Question: Collectible space progress - Management reported good integration of recent acquisitions in the collectible space, with impressive auction demand noted [24][25] Question: Impact of backwardation - Management explained that backwardation negatively impacted results, similar to conditions experienced post-COVID, but noted a return to more normalized market conditions [29][30][33] Question: Earnings power in macroeconomic uncertainty - Management indicated that the company historically performs well in active silver markets and noted the current dominance of gold in precious metals [35][36] Question: Current stance on acquisitions - Management remains open to acquisitions, particularly when market conditions are slow, and sees potential for significant customer base growth through these strategies [46][47] Question: Trends post-Liberation Day - Management reported elevated interest and activity across all business segments throughout April, with a correlation to stock market performance [48][49] Question: Visibility on long-term holders selling inventory - Management discussed the supply-demand dynamics when long-term holders sell back into the market, affecting trading performance [54][55] Question: Financial impact of Las Vegas facility improvements - Management expressed confidence that automation improvements will lead to higher volumes and efficiencies without adding more employees [58][60] Question: Thoughts on stock buybacks - Management stated that stock buybacks are considered alongside other capital deployment strategies, with flexibility to adapt based on market conditions [62][65]
A-Mark Precious Metals(AMRK) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 15% to $3,000,000,000 from $2,600,000,000 in the same year-ago quarter, with an 18% increase when excluding forward sales [6][8] - Gross profit for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 18% to $41,000,000, representing 1.36% of revenue, compared to $34,800,000 or 1.33% of revenue in Q3 of last year [8][9] - Net loss attributable to the company for Q3 2025 totaled $8,500,000 or $0.36 loss per diluted share, compared to net income of $5,000,000 or $0.21 per diluted share in Q3 of last year [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The DTC segment contributed 19% of consolidated revenue in fiscal Q3 2025, while JMB's revenue represented 10% of consolidated revenue, down from 12% in the prior year [6][7] - Gross profit from the DTC segment represented 61% of consolidated gross profit in Q3 2025, up from 52% in Q3 2024 [9] - SG&A expenses for fiscal Q3 2025 increased 46% to $33,400,000, primarily due to increased consulting and professional fees [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gold sales in Q3 2025 were 432,000 ounces, down 3% from the previous year, while silver sales were 15,700,000 ounces, down 39% from the same period [18][19] - The number of new customers in the DTC segment increased significantly, with 899,600 new customers in Q3 2025, up 1489% from the previous year [20] - The average order value in the DTC segment was $3,084, up 45% from Q3 2024 [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company executed three strategic acquisitions during the quarter, enhancing its competitive position and expanding into higher-margin luxury segments [4] - The company is focused on integrating recent acquisitions and driving operational efficiencies to enhance shareholder value [5][17] - The company remains optimistic about long-term growth opportunities in Asian markets across wholesale and e-commerce channels [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that market conditions showed modest improvement, and they remain confident in the company's long-term growth trajectory [5] - The management highlighted the impact of tariffs and backwardation on trading losses and interest expenses during the quarter [3][32] - Management expressed optimism about the demand for precious metals as a safe haven during periods of market volatility [40][50] Other Important Information - The company maintained its regular quarterly cash dividend program, with the most recent dividend paid in April 2025 [17] - The company had $114,300,000 in cash at the end of the quarter, up from $48,600,000 at the end of fiscal year 2024 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Market activity post-April - Management observed increased activity in early April, with a solid month overall, despite a slight slowdown in the last weeks [24] Question: Progress in the collectible space - Management reported successful integration of SGI and Pinehurst, with strong demand in the collectible market [26] Question: Impact of backwardation on results - Management explained that backwardation affected trading revenue and gross profit significantly during February and March [31] Question: Earnings power in macroeconomic uncertainty - Management noted that earnings power is historically stronger in active silver markets, but gold's recent performance has been favorable [36] Question: Current stance on acquisitions - Management remains open to acquisitions, particularly when market conditions are slow, and sees potential for further growth through M&A [46] Question: Trends post-Liberation Day - Management reported elevated interest and activity across all business segments throughout April [48] Question: Visibility on long-term holders selling inventory - Management indicated that increased selling by long-term holders could impact supply and demand dynamics [54] Question: Financial impact of improvements in Las Vegas facility - Management expressed confidence that automation improvements would lead to higher volumes and efficiencies [58] Question: Thoughts on stock buybacks - Management stated that stock buybacks are considered alongside other capital deployment strategies, but current focus is on integrating recent acquisitions [66]
原油系板块“万绿丛中一点红” 原油主力跌逾3%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-04-30 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures market for crude oil shows a significant decline, with the main crude oil futures dropping over 3% on April 30, indicating a bearish trend in the market [1]. Group 1: Price Movements - As of April 30, the main crude oil futures fell by 3.50%, settling at 471.00 yuan per barrel [1]. - Fuel oil futures decreased by 1.88%, priced at 2925.00 yuan per ton [1]. - Low-sulfur fuel oil futures dropped by 2.75%, reaching 3391.00 yuan per ton [1]. - Liquefied petroleum gas futures saw a slight increase of 0.55%, priced at 4407.00 yuan per ton [1]. - The opening prices for various contracts on April 30 included SC crude oil at 480.10 yuan, fuel oil at 2945.00 yuan, and liquefied petroleum gas at 4389.00 yuan [2]. Group 2: Inventory Data - As of April 29, the inventory data showed that the medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse held 4,644,000 barrels, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day [3]. - Fuel oil futures inventory increased by 4,950 tons, totaling 51,120 tons [3]. - The inventory for asphalt futures remained unchanged at 34,070 tons [3]. - Liquefied petroleum gas futures inventory was stable at 7,757 hands [3]. - Low-sulfur fuel oil futures inventory also remained unchanged at 42,250 tons [3]. Group 3: Basis Data - The basis data indicated that fuel oil, asphalt, liquefied petroleum gas, and low-sulfur fuel oil contracts experienced a 'backwardation' phenomenon, where spot prices exceeded futures prices [3]. - The basis for fuel oil was calculated at 2,481 yuan, with a basis rate of 45.42% [3]. - The basis for asphalt was 209 yuan, with a basis rate of 5.73% [3]. - The basis for liquefied petroleum gas was 584 yuan, with a basis rate of 11.76% [3]. - The basis for low-sulfur fuel oil was 131 yuan, with a basis rate of 3.66% [3].