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Stocks Take a Breather as Bond Yields Spike on Strong GDP Data
Barrons· 2025-12-23 14:48
The stock market's end-of-year run took a pause after a strong GDP reading sent bond yields spiking. Inflation-adjusted third-quarter GDP growth rose at a 4.3% annualized rate in the third quarter, which was well ahead of expectations for 3% growth. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 24 points, or less than 0.1%. The S&P 500 was up 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.1%. The S&P 500 is off about 0.2% from its Dec. 11 closing high. ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-22 11:17
Indian bond yields climbed to a nine-month high as traders pared expectations of further interest-rate cuts https://t.co/01hkWt5921 ...
Bonds are having their best year since 2020. But don't expect the same returns next year.
MarketWatch· 2025-12-18 19:36
Core Viewpoint - The uncertain outlook for inflation and interest rates is expected to drive yields higher in the coming year, which will negatively impact bond prices [1] Group 1 - The potential increase in yields is attributed to the unpredictable nature of inflation and interest rate trends [1] - Higher yields could lead to a decrease in demand for bonds, as investors may seek better returns elsewhere [1] - The bond market may face significant challenges as these economic factors evolve [1]
History Shows Us Where Bond Yields Go Next
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-15 21:06
With the Fed lowering their Fed Funds Rate again last week , treasury rates -- especially those on the long end of the yield curve -- have been dominating headlines. The curve is still looking wonky, with the 3-month UST still yieldingNewsletter Author | Investment Advisor | Top 5% of Experts on TipRanks | Long Signal, Short Noise | I am a macro-oriented and data-driven investor who obsesses over connecting dots that others don't see (or want to see), expressing my views through concentrated, asymmetrical, ...
Stocks Open Higher Ahead of Busy Week of Economic Data
Barrons· 2025-12-15 14:34
The stock market opened higher Monday, as bond yields were stable and markets look ahead to key economic data.The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively.Helping is that the two-year Treasury yield was down a touch to just over 3.5%. It has settled around there since September, as the market sees economic data as cool enough for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. ...
India bonds steady as supply pressure offsets RBI's plan to buy liquid notes
The Economic Times· 2025-12-15 05:53
The benchmark 10-year yield was at 6.5949% as of 10:10 a.m. IST, after ending at 6.5931% on Friday. The yield had eased to 6.5741%. "There is some bullish push after the central bank's change of bond-buying strategy, but any major rally is seen curbed until the actual auction takes place," a trader with a state-run bank said.The This comes after the central bank bought a similar quantum of bonds last week at higher-than-estimated prices, which sparked a brief rally.Live EventsThe RBI's bond buying for this ...
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates today. Here's why bond yields are moving in the opposite direction.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-10 23:15
Markets have been predicting another rate cut for weeks, but bond yields have been rising. The 10-year Treasury yield has steadily risen in recent weeks, and ticked up to 4.2% on Wednesday. Bond markets are telegraphing concerns about more inflation in the coming year. Markets think a rate cut on Wednesday is nearly a foregone conclusion, but bond yields are doing something strange. Despite a cut being priced in for weeks, US government bonds have been selling off, driving yields higher. The 10-y ...
The Federal Reserve has faith in this, expert reveals
Youtube· 2025-12-10 20:15
CEO and chief strategist Daniel D. Martino Booth. First, your initial thoughts because this is a lot.These are a lot of changes. >> There there are a ton of changes and I I'm starting to feel like we're like it's a schizophrenic Federal Open Market Committee. I mean, they're swinging from pendulum to pendulum.Hawks are being doves. Doves are being I mean, it's it's just >> Yeah. Goulby set this out.Goulsby is always a dove. >> Goulsby I mean, the Chicago Fed is always the most dovish fed person and he's doi ...
Will Silver Prices See a ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact’ Drop After the Fed Interest Rate Decision?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-10 15:06
March Comex silver (SIH26) futures today hit a record high of $62.14 an ounce. Price action in silver this week has produced a bullish upside “breakout” from a bull flag pattern on the daily bar chart. Measuring implications from this pattern project an upside price target of around $70.00 in the coming weeks, or sooner. Indeed, silver bulls are presently enjoying a potent elixir of bullish charts and bullish supply and demand fundamentals, including an expected interest rate cut today from a major central ...
Bond Traders Defy Fed and Spark Heated Debate on Wall Street
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-07 21:38
Core Viewpoint - The bond market's unusual reaction to the Federal Reserve's interest-rate cuts indicates a significant disconnect, with Treasury yields rising despite rate reductions, a phenomenon not observed since the 1990s [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The bond market is not aligning with President Trump's belief that faster rate cuts will lead to lower bond yields and subsequently lower rates on loans [3]. - Key Treasury yields have increased, with ten-year yields rising nearly 0.5 percentage points to 4.1% and 30-year yields up over 0.8 percentage points since the Fed began easing policy [6]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve has reduced its benchmark rate by 1.5 percentage points since September 2024, bringing it to a range of 3.75% to 4%, with expectations for further cuts [5]. - Historically, long-term bond yields tend to follow short-term policy rate changes, but this trend has not been observed in the current easing cycle [7]. Group 3: Political Influence - There are concerns that political pressure could lead the Fed to ease policy more aggressively, potentially undermining its credibility and exacerbating inflation, which could further increase yields [4]. - The potential appointment of a political figure to the Fed by Trump raises doubts about the effectiveness of achieving lower long-term yields [4].