1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The methanol 2601 contract is expected to be weak in the short - term and fluctuate in the medium - term, with an overall view of weak operation. The weak supply - demand situation dominates, causing methanol to fluctuate weakly. The contract may maintain a weak trend on Monday [1][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Time - Cycle Viewpoints - Short - term (within a week): The methanol 2601 contract is expected to be weak [1]. - Medium - term (two weeks to one month): The methanol 2601 contract is expected to be in a state of fluctuation [1]. - Intraday: The methanol 2601 contract is expected to be weak [1][5]. 3.2 Driving Logic - Some Fed officials have made hawkish remarks. The ongoing government shutdown in the US may delay the release of October CPI data, and it has also impacted the US economic resilience. They suggest no interest rate cuts before Powell's term ends in May 2026 [5]. - The domestic methanol operating rate and weekly output remain at relatively high levels, and the external import pressure continues to increase. The methanol inventories at ports in East and South China are persistently high [5]. - On the night session of last Friday, the domestic methanol futures 2601 contract fluctuated weakly, with the futures price slightly down 0.76% to 2,103 yuan/ton [5].