25 August 2025 | 3:24AM HKT CMOC Group (3993.HK) Buy Earnings Review: 1H25 below on lower DRC profit; Strong minor metal pricing to support profit growth; Buy | 3993.HK | 12m Price Target: HK$10.80 | Price: HK$10.79 | Upside: 0.1% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603993.SS | 12m Price Target: Rmb13.00 | Price: Rmb11.11 | Upside: 17.0% | CMOC reported 1H25 NP of Rmb8.67bn and EPS of Rmb0.405/sh, up 60%/62% yoy respectively, in line with the previous preliminary profit announcement. Excluding one-offs, mostly fa ...

Core Viewpoint - Hudbay Minerals (HBM) is expected to report improved second-quarter 2025 results, driven by higher gold and copper prices, with projected revenues of $495.3 million, reflecting a 16.4% year-over-year growth [1][5]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HBM's second-quarter earnings has decreased by 35.3% over the past 60 days to 11 cents per share, but this still represents a significant improvement from the break-even earnings reported in the same quarter last year [2]. - HBM's earnings surprise history shows that the company has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 50% [3]. Production and Operations - In Q1 2025, HBM produced 30,958 tons of copper and 73,784 ounces of gold, with copper output down 11% and gold production down 18% year-over-year, aligning with internal expectations [8]. - The ongoing stripping phase in the Pampacancha pit has negatively impacted production in Peru, but higher gold production in Manitoba has partially offset this decline [9]. - Manitoba operations achieved gold production of 60,354 ounces, copper of 3,469 tons, and silver of 285,603 ounces, with gold, copper, and silver production increasing by 6%, 10%, and 30% respectively compared to Q1 2024 [10]. Commodity Prices - Gold prices averaged around $3,301.42 per ounce in the April-June 2025 period, marking a 41% year-over-year increase, while silver prices rose by 16% and copper prices increased by 5% [14]. - These favorable pricing trends are expected to help mitigate the impact of lower production volumes on HBM's revenue performance in the upcoming quarter [15]. Valuation and Market Performance - HBM shares have increased by 19% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 17.9% [16]. - The company is currently trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 1.74, higher than the industry average of 1.15, indicating a relatively elevated valuation compared to peers [19][20]. Investment Outlook - Hudbay Minerals' diversified operations in copper and gold provide leverage to strong commodity prices, with projected copper output averaging 144,000 tons annually over the next three years [21]. - Despite expected upbeat second-quarter results driven by higher gold prices, concerns remain regarding lower production levels due to the depletion of the Pampacancha deposit [23].

U.S. Stock Market Performance - U.S. stocks traded lower, with the Dow Jones down approximately 1.5% on Friday, closing at 43,488.38, while the NASDAQ fell 2.38% to 20,620.55 and the S&P 500 dropped 1.76% to 6,227.60 [1] - Consumer staples shares increased by 0.9%, while consumer discretionary stocks decreased by 3.4% on the same day [1] Amazon Financial Results - Amazon.com Inc. shares fell around 8% after reporting second-quarter net sales of $167.7 billion, which is a 13% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $161.9 billion [2] Commodity Market Trends - Oil prices decreased by 2% to $67.86, while gold prices increased by 1.4% to $3,396.30. Silver rose by 0.6% to $36.945, and copper increased by 1% to $4.3995 [5] European Market Performance - European shares declined, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 falling 1.79%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index down 1.83%, London's FTSE 100 down 0.80%, Germany's DAX 40 declining 2.36%, and France's CAC 40 falling 2.73% [6] Asian Market Performance - Asian markets closed lower, with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.66%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng down 1.07%, China's Shanghai Composite down 0.37%, and India's BSE Sensex down 0.72% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Tenon Medical, Inc. shares surged 75% to $1.7500 following the acquisition of sacroiliac joint-specific assets from SiVantage [9] - Performant Healthcare, Inc. shares increased by 114% to $7.59 after an acquisition agreement for $670 million [9] - Alphatec Holdings, Inc. shares rose 26% to $13.36 after raising FY2025 sales guidance above estimates [9] - Fluor Corporation shares dropped 31% to $39.35 after reporting second-quarter results below estimates and lowering FY25 adjusted EPS guidance [9] - Silexion Therapeutics Corp shares fell 35% to $9.75 after announcing the exercise of warrants for $1.8 million gross proceeds [9] - Insperity, Inc. shares decreased by 23% to $45.98 after reporting worse-than-expected quarterly results and issuing weak guidance [9] Economic Indicators - U.S. construction spending declined by 0.4% to an annualized rate of $2.136 trillion in June [11] - The ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48 in July from 49 in June, missing market estimates of 49.5 [11] - The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index slipped to 61.7 in July from a preliminary reading of 61.8 [11] - The S&P Global manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 49.8 in July from a preliminary reading of 49.5 [11]

Financial Performance - Anglo American posted lower profits [1] - Anglo American slashed its dividend [1] Industry Trends - Stagnant commodity prices impacted earnings [1] - Rival miners also reported lower profits [1] Business Strategy - Anglo American is looking to exit certain businesses [1] - Businesses Anglo American is looking to exit dragged down earnings [1]

Rio Tinto Group posts a decline in first-half profit as the world’s biggest miners battle stagnant commodity prices and trade uncertainties unleashed by Trump https://t.co/pFZcf0ZJWb ...

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Company is expected to report second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 15, with strong demand from product launches but challenges from elevated production expenses and low commodity prices impacting performance [1]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Q2 Performance - Low commodity prices and weak farmer spending have led to lower shipment volumes, negatively affecting the company's fiscal second-quarter performance [2]. - High production expenses, along with increased selling, administrative, and research and development costs, are anticipated to impact the company's margins [3]. - The company is reviewing its cost structure to improve margins, with favorable price realization expected to offset some of the higher material and freight costs [4]. Group 2: Segment Projections for Q2 - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is projected to generate revenues of $4.61 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 23.9%, with operating profit expected to fall 62.5% to $619 million [5]. - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment's revenues are estimated at $2.78 billion, indicating a 12.6% decline, with operating profit expected to decrease by 15.1% to $485 million [6]. - The Construction & Forestry segment's sales are estimated at $3.29 billion, a 14.4% dip, with operating profit predicted to drop 12% to $588 million [7]. - The Financial Services segment is projected to have revenues of $1.48 billion, a 6.7% increase, with operating profit estimated at $232 million [8]. Group 3: Overall Q2 Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 1.1% to $5.68 per share, implying a 33.4% decline from the previous year, with revenue expectations at $10.6 billion, a 21.7% year-over-year decline [9]. - The earnings surprise history shows that Deere has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 8.9% [10]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for Deere is -0.03%, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat this time [11]. - Deere holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a hold position [12]. Group 5: Share Price Performance - Deere's shares have increased by 22.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 18.5% [13].