The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is down -0.83%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is down -0.42%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -1.16%.  December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) are down -0.80%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) are down -1.12%. Stock indexes are moving lower today, with the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrials, and the Nasdaq 100 sliding to 1-week lows. Stocks are falling for the third consecutive session as rising bond yields undercut stock prices.  S ...

Group 1 - The outlook for equities and risk assets is assessed through the lens of US and global business cycles, corporate earnings, monetary policy, liquidity, and positioning [1] - The investment research approach focuses on leveraging the business cycle and incorporates macro, fundamentals, technicals, sentiment, and market structure [2]

Wall Street is on track for its third straight day of gains, with major large-cap indices extending records as investors remain optimistic about corporate earnings and upcoming rate cuts.The S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 6,690 points after midday trading in New York. The Nasdaq 100 advanced 0.6% to nearly 24,750, while the Dow inched 0.1% higher to 46,350. The small-cap Russell 2000 rose 0.3%.XLK shares are testing new highs. See what is driving the move here.Technology's outperformance continues relentlessly. The s ...

Market Performance - The S&P 500 closed at 6,664, up about 0.5% for the day, extending a rally of more than 4% over the past month [1] Historical Trends - Historical data indicates that the upcoming week has often produced negative results for the S&P 500, with a win rate of just 37%, making it one of the lowest-probability weeks for gains in the entire calendar year [3][6] - The average return for this period stands at -0.86%, contrasting with most weeks across the year that lean positive [6] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, its first reduction since late 2024, bringing the target range to 4.00%–4.25% [7] - Inflation remains a concern, with consumer prices rising 2.9% in August, complicating expectations for a looser policy stance [7] Corporate Earnings - S&P 500 companies are expected to post approximately 7.7% profit growth and 6.3% revenue growth in the third quarter, continuing a nine-quarter streak of earnings expansion [8] - Technology and financial sectors are driving gains, while energy and consumer staples are lagging [8] Market Outlook - Despite potential challenges, Wall Street remains optimistic, with projections suggesting the index could climb to the 7,000 milestone in the coming months [8]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's recent interest-rate cut has boosted confidence for further market gains by year-end [1][6] - Equities have reached record highs, adding $16 trillion in market value this year, while oil prices are near four-year lows [2] - Corporate earnings remain strong, and the US economy is avoiding recession, but geopolitical tensions could quickly alter this outlook [6][7] Group 2 - Investors are advised to monitor geopolitical risks without panic, focusing on their potential impact on economic forecasts and asset prices [4][5] - The current market has not fully priced in geopolitical risks, with US stocks at high valuations and European markets also considered expensive [7]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market opened positively on September 19, 2025, extending gains from a record-setting Thursday, driven by strength in the technology sector and key corporate announcements [1][2] - The S&P 500 index rose to 6663 points, marking a 0.47% gain from the previous session, up 4.18% over the past month, and 16.84% higher compared to the same time last year [2] - All three major U.S. indexes reached new all-time closing highs on Thursday, indicating broad market strength beyond large-cap tech stocks [3] Corporate News and Stock Movements - Apple (AAPL) shares gained approximately 1% as the new iPhone 17 models went on sale globally, showing strong consumer demand for Pro models [7] - FedEx (FDX) initially jumped over 5% after reinstating its full-year outlook and reporting better-than-expected first-quarter profit and revenue, but later pared most gains [7] - Lennar (LEN) shares declined by 3% after quarterly revenue and profit fell short of analyst expectations, reflecting challenges in the housing sector [7] - Intel (INTC) shares surged nearly 23% on Thursday but were down 0.6% in premarket trading following Nvidia's $5 billion investment in Intel [11] - Tesla (TSLA) shares surged 22.6% over the past month, indicating strong performance [11] - Darden Restaurants (DRI) dropped 6% as earnings per share missed expectations, despite revenue meeting consensus [11] - Netskope saw its shares end 18% higher in its Nasdaq debut, while StubHub (STUB) stock fell 7% after a challenging debut [11] Economic Events and Indicators - A significant $5 trillion quarterly triple-witching options expiry is scheduled, with expectations of limited market impact [4] - Upcoming economic indicators include Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures and the Federal Reserve's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index [6]

US stocks are trading at record levels with earnings season right around the corner, and improving expectations for Corporate America’s profit growth indicate that the rally can keep going. Among the companies in the S&P 500 Index that provided guidance for their third-quarter results, more than 22% were expecting to beat analysts’ expectations — the highest reading in a year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence. In addition, the share of firms issuing worse-than-expected profit forecasts ...

To get back to the markets, all three major averages notching all-time highs that took place yesterday. Join us right now to talk about Sylvia Jablonsky, Defianc's ETF CEO, chief investment officer. Good morning to you.Uh we've been talking all week about what has been a remarkable ride um as it as it relates to the markets. The question is, of course, does this all keep up. And I would just ask you to some degree how concerned you are that effectively the markets keep rising on what seems to be the back of ...

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's stock dropped over 17% pre-market following the release of its Q2 earnings report, which showed mixed results and lowered guidance for the year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 increased by 7% year-over-year to $2.53 billion, slightly below the expected $2.54 billion [1] - Net profit decreased by 5% year-over-year to $371 million, with earnings per share at $3.10, surpassing the market expectation of $2.88 [1] - Gross margin declined by 1.1 percentage points to 58.5% [1] - Same-store sales growth was 1%, falling short of the expected 2.2%, with a 4% decline in same-store sales in the Americas [1] Guidance and Market Reactions - Lululemon anticipates that tariffs will reduce its annual profit by $240 million and has lowered its full-year earnings guidance to a range of $12.77 to $12.97 per share, significantly below the market expectation of $14.45 [1] - Revenue guidance for the year is now projected to be between $10.85 billion and $11 billion, also below the expected $11.18 billion [1] - Following the earnings report, Barclays reduced its target price for Lululemon from $209 to $180, while Piper Sandler lowered its target price from $200 to $165 [1]

Market Outlook - US stock retreat is expected to be short and shallow [1] - Corporate earnings remain robust [1] - Economic outlook remains robust [1]