Credit Risk Mitigation
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Dave Stock Soars 127% in YTD: Is This the Right Time to Invest?
ZACKSยท 2025-12-11 18:06
Core Insights - Dave Inc.'s shares have surged 126.6% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 25.2% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 20.1% rise [1] - Over the past year, Dave's stock has increased by 129%, while its peers Parsons and VerifyMe have seen declines of 30.9% and 15.7%, respectively [4] Financial Performance - The company's average 28-day delinquency rate decreased by 7 basis points to 2.33%, indicating improved financial health [5] - Revenue increased by 63% year-over-year, driven by effective credit risk mitigation through the CashAI engine [5] - Adjusted net income surged by 193% year-over-year, with customer acquisition costs maintained at $19 [6] - Revenue guidance for the full year was raised to $544-$547 million from $505-$515 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance was increased to $215-$218 million from $180-$190 million [6] Profitability and Liquidity - Dave's return on equity (ROE) stands at 77.8%, significantly higher than the industry average of 15.3% [8] - The return on capital invested (ROIC) is 48.8%, compared to the industry average of 7.6% [8] - The current ratio improved to 8.7 from 6.81 year-over-year, well above the industry average of 1.58, indicating strong liquidity [10] Valuation Metrics - Dave trades at 14.13 times forward 12-month EPS, below the industry average of 27.2 times [12] - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio is 17.56, also below the industry average of 18.86, suggesting undervaluation [12] Growth Prospects - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $546.1 million, reflecting a 57.3% increase from the previous year [14] - Earnings per share for 2025 are estimated at $12.96, indicating a 147.3% increase from the prior year [14] - Analysts have revised EPS estimates upward for both 2025 and 2026, with a 24.7% increase for 2025 and a 12% increase for 2026 [15]