Deep Value Investing
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BigBear.ai: I Was A Big Skeptic - Now This Is One Of My Highest Upside 2026 Bets
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-10 11:28
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying at the new lower price, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines are used for visualizing support and resistance, and trend lines are drawn to identify patterns [1]
OMS Energies: Unknown Hidden Gem For Deep Value Investors In The Oil Sector
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 07:38
Core Insights - The individual has a background in science but currently operates in a business role within the mining industry, focusing on long-term investments and value realization of mispriced assets [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment approach emphasizes long-term compounders and aims to outperform broad market indices on a money-weighted basis over the long term [1] - The focus is primarily on the mining sector, particularly base metals, while also considering non-mining companies that are well understood [1] - The investment timeline typically ranges from 1 to 5 years, with a preference for high-reward bets rather than broad market ETFs [1] Group 2: Market Engagement - The individual engages in investments after significant price shocks that create opportunities for entry into non-mining companies [1] - The strategy involves sticking to a circle of relative competence, avoiding sectors outside of expertise [1]
Meta: My $111B CapEx Estimate For 2026, And Why Overbuild Fears Are Overstated
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines and trend lines are used in technical analysis to identify patterns and potential price movements [1]
What’s Up With SentinelOne? An Ultra-Deep Value Opportunity
Investing· 2026-01-06 07:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article focuses on the market analysis of SentinelOne Inc., highlighting its performance and potential investment opportunities in the cybersecurity sector [1] Group 2 - SentinelOne Inc. has shown significant growth in its revenue, with a reported increase of 50% year-over-year, reaching $100 million in the last quarter [1] - The company has expanded its customer base, now serving over 5,000 customers, which reflects a 30% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The cybersecurity industry is experiencing heightened demand due to increasing cyber threats, positioning companies like SentinelOne for further growth [1]
Broadcom Vs Celestica: Unwarranted Selloff Makes Both Strong Buys
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-16 13:17
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
Nvidia: H200 China Sales And The Margin Tradeoff (NASDAQ:NVDA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-15 17:34
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
British American Tobacco: Deleveraging, Buybacks, 5% Yield Fuel Next Leg Of The Bull Run
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-12 12:19
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach between equity and derivatives [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
Adobe: Textbook Value Trap Despite Strong Fundamentals (NASDAQ:ADBE)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 14:26
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy is centered around identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insider buying is observed at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to determine optimal entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A thorough screening process is conducted to filter through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, with occasional investments in less stable markets [1] - Professional background checks are performed on insiders who purchase shares following sell-offs, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1] Analytical Approach - The use of fundamental analysis focuses on company health, leverage, and financial ratios [1] - Technical analysis involves drawing trend lines and identifying support and resistance levels to optimize trading decisions [1] - The investor expresses a strong preference for straightforward communication, avoiding jargon and unnecessary complexity in investment discussions [1]
Buy CMBT: Shipping Poised To Outperform Into 2026
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-19 20:45
Core Insights - The shipping industry has demonstrated significant market outperformance over the past decade, with Value Investor's Edge (VIE) achieving an internal rate of return (IRR) of 38.7% and cumulative returns exceeding 25 times [1][2] - VIE's long-only model portfolios have outperformed the S&P 500 by 75% in 2022 and produced an average annualized return of 43% over the past 8 years [1][2] Industry Analysis - The report outlines four reasons why the shipping industry is particularly attractive heading into 2026, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] - VIE specializes in deep value research within maritime shipping, offshore energy, and energy infrastructure, led by a team of 11 analysts and data experts [2] Company Performance - VIE has consistently delivered strong performance since its launch in 2015, with long-only models outperforming broad market indices [1][2] - The research community at VIE includes over 750 members, providing exclusive analytics, research reports, and earnings coverage [2]
Archer: Hawthorne And EIPP Make The Q3 Selloff A Bear Trap
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-10 23:39
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]