Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current investment landscape, emphasizing the importance of conservative stock portfolios amid market uncertainties and the potential for significant gains in defensive stocks. Market Outlook - The equity market outlook remains positive following US Federal Reserve rate cuts in a growing economy, with stocks reaching record highs despite concerns about macroeconomic indicators [2] - Bank of America strategists believe that big tech stocks still have room for growth despite substantial gains over the past two years [2] Investment Strategy - Goldman Sachs' Tony Pasquariello advises investors to be "responsibly bullish" and to utilize the options market for risk management, cautioning against chasing market trends [3] - Nomura's Charlie McElligott emphasizes the need for hedging portfolios as more investors pursue stock market rallies, suggesting that maintaining hedges is crucial even if they negatively impact performance [4] Federal Reserve Insights - Jerome Powell's reluctance to support aggressive rate cuts introduces risks in a market at record highs, contributing to uncertainty regarding the pace of future rate cuts [5] - The division within the Federal Reserve has become a catalyst for market uncertainty, prompting a shift in focus towards conservative investments that can withstand market fluctuations [5] Conservative Investments - Conservative investments typically involve defensive stocks that perform well regardless of economic conditions, providing stability during market volatility [6] - The article identifies stocks that are likely to outperform in various economic conditions and are favored by elite hedge funds [9] Stock Recommendations - **3M Company (NYSE:MMM)**: Aims for 25% margin expansion by 2027 through innovation and operational efficiency, with a goal of generating $1 billion in growth over the next three years [11][12][13] - **Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY)**: Focuses on leadership in cell therapy, having treated 13,000 patients and working on significant therapies for autoimmune diseases [16][18][19] - **PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP)**: Participating in initiatives to promote regenerative agriculture, aiming to transition 10 million acres by 2030, aligning with sustainable practices [20][21][22]

The Straits Times Index (SGX: ^STI) has slipped below the 4,300 mark, after spending most of September above this level.When volatility strikes, an income investor can look to defensive stocks that have stable earnings and dividends.Here are three defensive Singapore blue-chips you can consider, namely Singapore Exchange or SGX, Singapore Technologies Engineering or STE, and Singapore Telecommunications or Singtel.Singapore Exchange (SGX: S68) SGX is Singapore’s sole stock exchange operator. The group enjoy ...

Key Points Despite its reputation for resilience, the consumer staples sector has been among the worst performing groups all year. Among the laggards, several high quality "diamonds" can be found. Although a rate cut cycle is underway, the case can still be made for keeping some exposure to defensive stocks. 10 stocks we like better than Walmart › Whether you're looking at the past month, or the past year, the S&P consumer staples sector (NYSEMKT: XLP) is either at -- or near -- the bottom of the ...

Group 1 - The S&P 500 recently reached an all-time high, raising concerns about stock valuations being too high [2] - The market-weighted index is heavily influenced by a small number of technology companies [2] Group 2 - iREIT+HOYA Capital focuses on income-producing asset classes that provide sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [1]

Market Overview - Wall Street has continued its bull run in 2025, with the S&P 500 recording 20 all-time highs year to date, including five in August alone [1] - Historically, September is the worst-performing month for U.S. equities, with an average decline of 0.7% since 1950, and a more pronounced average decline of 2% over the last 10 years [2] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in low-beta, high-yielding stocks with a favorable Zacks Rank, including Assurant Inc. (AIZ), Hasbro Inc. (HAS), The Mosaic Co. (MOS), Virtu Financial Inc. (VIRT), and Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI), all of which have a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [3][10] Assurant Inc. (AIZ) - Assurant is focused on both inorganic and organic growth strategies, expecting adjusted EBITDA to increase modestly in 2025, driven by improved performance in Global Housing and growth in Global Lifestyle [13] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 5.7% and an earnings growth rate of 5.8% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings improving by 7.6% over the last 30 days [15] Hasbro Inc. (HAS) - Hasbro is concentrating on high-margin segments such as Wizards, Licensing, and Digital, which are expected to support bottom-line growth [16] - The company anticipates that digital gaming and licensing partnerships will contribute about 25% of corporate revenues by 2027, with an expected revenue growth rate of 6.6% and an earnings growth rate of 21.5% for the current year [19] The Mosaic Co. (MOS) - The Mosaic is expected to benefit from higher demand for fertilizers, with strong grower economics and crop commodity prices driving global fertilizer demand [20] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 16.4% and an earnings growth rate of 60.1% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings improving by 13.2% over the last 30 days [22] Virtu Financial Inc. (VIRT) - Virtu Financial's diversified business model supports sustainable long-term growth, with ongoing cost-control initiatives improving adjusted net margins [24] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 18.9% and an earnings growth rate of 33.8% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings improving by 17.9% over the last 60 days [25] Houlihan Lokey Inc. (HLI) - Houlihan Lokey is a global investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, capital solutions, and financial advisory services [26] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 13.1% and an earnings growth rate of 21.9% for the current year, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings improving by 6.7% over the last 60 days [27]

Economic Overview - U.S. consumer confidence dropped to 97.4 in August from 98.7 in July, indicating a decline of 1.3 points, with short-term expectations for income, business conditions, and employment also falling to 74.8 [4][5] - Concerns about the economy have been exacerbated by tariffs imposed by President Trump, which have raised inflation fears and impacted consumer confidence [5][6] - A weak labor market, characterized by slow job additions, has further fueled recession fears, despite low layoffs and unemployment rates [7] Investment Recommendations - Given the economic uncertainty, it is advisable to invest in low-beta defensive stocks from the utility and consumer staples sectors, which include Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO), Fortis, Inc. (FTS), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR), and Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) [2][10] - These stocks are characterized by a beta greater than 0 but less than 1, indicating lower volatility, and they also offer high dividend yields [3] Company Profiles - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution and storage, serving approximately 3.3 million customers across eight states. Expected earnings growth rate is 7.2% for the current year, with a beta of 0.75 and a dividend yield of 2.09% [8][9] - **Fortis, Inc. (FTS)**: Operates in the electric and gas utility sector, primarily in Canada and the Caribbean. Expected earnings growth rate is 4.6% for the current year, with a beta of 0.48 and a dividend yield of 3.57% [10][11] - **Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)**: Focuses on natural gas distribution systems and pipeline projects, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Expected earnings growth rate is 25.3% for the current year, with a beta of 0.59 and a dividend yield of 4.72% [12][13] - **Ingredion Incorporated (INGR)**: Provides ingredient solutions specializing in nature-based sweeteners and starches, serving various sectors. Expected earnings growth rate is 6.7% for the current year, with a beta of 0.77 and a dividend yield of 2.47% [14] - **Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)**: A leading provider of death care services in the U.S., offering a range of funeral and burial services. Expected earnings growth rate is 23.4% for the current year, with a beta of 0.86 and a dividend yield of 1.03% [15][16]

Core Insights - The analyst has a strong background in equity research and investment analysis, with a focus on the U.S. equity market and consumer staples sector, indicating a belief in the resilience of defensive stocks for long-term investment opportunities [1] - The analyst holds certifications such as FMVA and FPWMP, which enhance their ability to analyze financial statements and build valuation models [1] - Participation in the CFA Research Challenge provided practical experience in equity analysis and industry research, showcasing the analyst's capability to present investment recommendations effectively [1] Company and Industry Focus - The analyst has prepared investment reports across various sectors, including healthcare, consumer staples, and industrials, demonstrating versatility in evaluating companies across different industries [1] - The consumer staples sector is highlighted as a particular area of interest, suggesting that it may present stable investment opportunities due to its defensive nature [1] - The analyst's educational background includes a degree in Finance with a strong academic performance, which supports their analytical capabilities in the investment field [1]

I want to start off with you talking about what Courtney was just talking about the the changes in accounting and the way that uh the tariff costs could show up. Is that something that you're looking at as an analyst and kind of digging into the numbers. >> Sure.Absolutely. And it is something that will show up this quarter. Uh in particular when Walmart reports on Thursday, their gross margins are going to look really good because of this rim accounting method.Uh importantly though, Walmart has has talked ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the investment strategies and achievements of Paul Franke, a seasoned investor with 39 years of trading experience, emphasizing his contrarian stock selection style and the development of a system called "Victory Formation" for identifying stocks based on supply/demand imbalances [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies - Paul Franke suggests using a diversified approach by owning at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve regular stock market outperformance [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles focus on deep value candidates or stocks that are experiencing a significant reversal in technical momentum to the upside [1] - The "Volume Breakout Report" articles discuss positive trend changes supported by strong price and volume trading action [1] Group 2: Performance and Recognition - Franke was consistently ranked among the top investment advisors nationally during the 1990s and was ranked 1 in the Motley Fool® CAPS stock picking contest during parts of 2008 and 2009, out of over 60,000 portfolios [1] - As of June 2025, he was ranked in the Top 4% of bloggers by TipRanks® for 12-month stock picking performance based on suggestions made over the last decade [1] Group 3: Risk Management - Franke recommends investors implement stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stock choices to manage risk effectively [1]

Market Overview - Wall Street has experienced a rally, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching multiple record highs due to positive trade negotiations and a strong earnings season [1] - Despite the rally, concerns about the economy persist, particularly regarding high inflation and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates [2][8] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in the range of 4.25-4.5% during the upcoming FOMC meeting, with no cuts anticipated [5][8] - Retail sales increased by 0.6% in June, indicating resilient consumer spending despite inflationary pressures [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% in June, influenced by higher consumer goods prices due to tariffs [6] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in low-beta defensive stocks from the utility and consumer staples sectors, which include Entergy Corporation, Fortis, Inc., Northwest Natural Holding Company, and Ingredion Incorporated [3][4] - These stocks are characterized by high dividend yields and favorable Zacks Ranks, making them appealing amid inflation and interest rate uncertainties [11] Company Profiles Entergy Corporation - Engaged in electric power production and retail distribution, with a generating capacity of 30,000 MW, including over 8,000 MW of nuclear capacity [9] - Expected earnings growth rate of 6.6% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 and a dividend yield of 2.72% [10] Fortis, Inc. - Operates in the electric and gas utility sector, primarily in Canada and the Caribbean [12] - Expected earnings growth rate of 4.2% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 and a dividend yield of 3.63% [12] Northwest Natural Holding Company - Focuses on natural gas distribution systems and pipeline projects, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers [13] - Expected earnings growth rate of 23.6% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 and a dividend yield of 4.80% [14] Ingredion Incorporated - Provides ingredient solutions, specializing in nature-based sweeteners and starches for various industries [15] - Expected earnings growth rate of 6.8% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 2 and a dividend yield of 2.40% [16]